EGYPTAIR UPDATES

Farnborough Air Show 2018 will be held in July. New exhibition halls complex completed and open for hire.

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http://www.freelancedirectory.org/?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment Julian Bray provides: Opinion, comment, forward thinking speculation, keynote presentations and workshops for corporate organisations on Travel, Cruise & Aviation: conflict zones, terrorist impact, cybercrime and DoS issues, drone (UAV) issues, safety (black boxes, emergencies), airline operations, aviation finance, political implications, and all forms of incident risk. He operated at board level with several airline and aviation groups, including Alitalia, British Island Airways, British Airways, Galileo , British Aerospace, Skyways, former CEO City firm Leadenhall Assoc. (PR WEEK TOP 150) Founder CNS City News Service. Director NTN Television News (joint co. with ITV Wales TWW) Debretts People 2017 and featured in launch edition of PRWeek Black Book. Investigative Journalist and Broadcaster. After-dinner speaker and presenter. NUJ LIFE MEMBER & FULL EQUITY MEMBER.

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Thursday, 18 January 2018

EMIRATES CONFIRM AIRBUS A380 MEGA ORDER FOR 20 A380'S AND OPTIONS FOR 16 MORE - DELIVERIES FROM 2020.

A freezeframe from the viral internet film of an A380 being assembled.
The complete wing sections are made in Wales.


Emirates airline, it can now be confirmed has placed a firm order for twenty A380s, the world's largest passenger airliner, with options to buy a further 16. Deliveries are scheduled to begin in 2020.

Julian Bray the aviation expert, speaking on BBC Scotland comments: "This latest development will certainly save the A380 production line from being prematurely mothballed and possibly broken down. The 'last minute' nature of the firm order for twenty A380s and options on a further sixteen, brings to an end an extraordinary nail-biting period of ordering brinkmanship."

It was only last week Airbus announced they would wind down production and possibly cease it all together, as airlines are increasingly favouring narrow body aircraft. However Emirates is already the largest customer for the plane, with 101 currently in service ,and an order book of  41 firm orders previously placed.
 
The latest Emirates airline order is for up to 36 Airbus A380s.
 
The $16bn (£11.5bn) deal at list price amounts to a rescue  for the A380 as Airbus consider Emirates to be the anchor customer to ensure the future of this innovative supersized twin deck aircraft.  

Emirates is the sole airline to have put the A380 at the heart of its operations and had been expected to place a major order at the at the Dubai Airshow last November. But bottles of champagne and cases of rosewater remained out of view as Emirates surprisingly ordered 40 Boeing 787 Dreamliners, much to the chagrin of the Airbus Dubai Airshow stand staff.

Emirates said it had now made a firm order for 20 of the A380, the world's largest passenger aircraft, with options to buy a further 16. Deliveries are scheduled to begin in 2020.
On Monday, Airbus sales director John Leahy said the company would have to halt the A380 programme if Emirates did not place another order.

Airbus says this order underscores its commitment to produce the A380 for at least another 10 years. Hopes will be pinned on the rapidly expanding middle and far east markets, where the A380, it is said, will come into its own as the battle for airport slots will favour larger passenger numbers in fewer landings and takeoffs.

https://julianbrayrecessionbuster07944217476.blogspot.co.uk/search?q=A380


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Thursday, 11 January 2018

RMT DEMANDS URGENT ACTION BY REGULATOR AND CRUISE INDUSTRY AFTER LIFE BOAT/ TENDER INCIDENT INJURES FIVE ON CARNIVAL ARCADIA CRUISE SHIP LAST WEEKEND

 

MV Arcadia


Maritime union RMT has written to safety regulators and the cruise ship industry body today demanding urgent action over life-boat safety issues after a routine training exercise on the Bermuda-registered Carnival Cruises vessel MV Arcadia in the Azores on Saturday almost ended in tragedy.

Five people were hurt in the incident. In the Arcadia, one seriously, in what RMT says is the latest in a catalogue of serious incidents involving lifeboats – an issue that the union has been campaigning for change and improvements on for a number of years.

In a letter to the Maritime and Coastguard Agency, RMT is demanding a tighter regulatory regime and improved maintenance to ensure both crew and passenger safety.

In the letter, RMT says:

RMT has serious concerns over the risks and dangers facing maritime workers involved in life boat drills. It is almost as if the safety and testing regime for life boats under the present system has become the most dangerous part of a maritime workers time at sea, and that just cannot be right. RMT is demanding a tighter regulatory regime and improved maintenance of all life boats to ensure improvements to both crew and passenger safety.

Can you tell me, clearly and with precision what the MCA are doing to ensure immediate improvements in the working process of life boat drills, what the MCA consider requires changing, when they believe those changes will be introduced and finally what narrative they have in ensuring the safest and best practices are deployed and acted upon accordingly, for life boat drills.

The union has written to both Carnival Cruises and the Cruise Line Industry Association (CLIA) raising similar points.

 RMT General Secretary Mick Cash said: “The incident on Saturday on the Carnival Cruise ship Arcadia in the Azores should serve as a wake-up call to entire cruise industry that we need improvements and changes to the regulatory and maintenance regime and we need them now. RMT will fight with every tool at our disposal to ensure that safety of both crew and passengers is the absolute top priority the length and breadth of the industry.”

RMT National Secretary Steve Todd added: “RMT has raised the issue of lifeboat safety in the past and after the latest incident we will not be fobbed off with any more delays and excuses.  RMT is blowing the whistle on this issue before there is a major tragedy and we expect urgent and decisive action from both the safety regulator and the cruise companies.”

Background:

1.In February 2013, a snapped cable during a lifeboat drill on the Thomson Majesty cruise ship caused the death of five seafarers and injuries to three others.

2.A crew member was killed and four others injured, two seriously, during a lifeboat drill on the Harmony of the Seas cruise ship  in Marseille in September 2016.

3.A series of fatal and non-fatal accidents during lifeboat drills on cruise and other vessels since the start of the decade led to the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) setting new requirements for lifeboat release and retrieval systems. The shipping industry has been given until July 2019 to introduce these new standards.

4.The Bermudan ship register is in the Red Ensign Group. Compliance with international maritime safety conventions, including Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS) by Red Ensign Group vessels is enforced by the UK regulator, the Maritime and Coastguard Agency (MCA).



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AAIB Correspondence Air Accident Investigations January 1/2018

January Bulletin 1/2018

AAIB Correspondence Investigations

These are reports on accidents and incidents which were not subject to a Field Investigation.

They are wholly, or largely, based on information provided by the aircraft commander in an Aircraft Accident Report Form (AARF) and in some cases additional information from other sources.

The accuracy of the information provided cannot be assured.

Commercial Air Transport

General Aviation

Sport Aviation / Balloons

Miscellaneous

This section contains Addenda, Corrections and a list of the ten most recent Air Accident reports published by the AAIB.
Full report is here: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/air-accident-monthly-bulletin-january-2018

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IATA reports demand growth strengthens in November

IATA
Demand Growth Strengthens in November    
              
Geneva - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced global passenger traffic results for November 2017 showing continued robust demand. Total revenue passenger kilometers (RPKs) rose 8.0% compared to November 2016, the fastest growth rate in five months and up from a 7.3% year-over-year rise in October. Capacity (available seat kilometers or ASKs) increased by 6.3%, and load factor rose 1.2 percentage points to 80.2%.
"The airline industry is in a good place entering 2018. November’s strong demand gives the industry momentum. The number of unique city-pair connections now tops 20,000. Passengers not only have more travel choices than ever, the cost of travel in real terms has never been cheaper. Along with delivering great value to consumers, airlines are rewarding their shareholders with normal levels of profitability. We expect 2018 to be the fourth year in a row where the industry’s return on invested capital will exceed the cost of capital. In sum, we begin the New Year with confidence," said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s Director General and CEO.
"Challenges, however, remain. Security threats continue. Infrastructure issues persist. Fees and charges are a growing part of the cost base. And in many cases airports and air traffic management struggle to keep pace with demand and technology advancements. These and other challenges can only be addressed in partnership with governments. And doing so requires governments to recognize the enormous value that aviation—the business of freedom—provides to their economies and the world," said de Juniac.     
November 2017
(% year-on-year)
World share¹
RPK
ASK
PLF
(%-pt)²         
PLF
(level)³ 
        
Total Market
100.0%
8.0%
6.3%
1.2%      
80.2%
Africa
2.2%
5.6%
2.0%
2.3%
69.4%
Asia Pacific
32.9%      
11.3%
9.0%
1.6%
80.6%
Europe
26.4%
7.9%
5.8%
1.6%
81.5%
Latin America
5.2%
5.8%
4.7%      
0.9%
82.4%
Middle East
9.6%
4.8%
4.4%      
0.3%
70.2%
North America
23.8%      
5.4%      
4.6%
0.6%
83.5%
   ¹% of industry RPKs in 2016   ²Year-on-year change in load factor   ³Load factor level   
International Passenger Markets
November international passenger demand rose 8.1% compared to the year earlier period, an increase from 7.3% in October. All regions showed growth, led for the third consecutive month by carriers in the Asia-Pacific region. Total capacity climbed 6.6%, and load factor increased 1.1 percentage points to 78.2%.
  • Asia-Pacific airlines’ November traffic climbed 10.8% compared to the year-ago period, driven by strong regional economic growth and continuing expansion of options for travelers. Capacity increased 8.7% and load factor rose 1.5 percentage points to 78.6%.
  • European carriers saw demand increase by 7.9% in November 2017. Economic conditions in the region remain very favorable, with business confidence recently having risen to its strongest level in seven years. Capacity climbed 6.2% and load factor rose 1.3 percentage points to 81.9%, which was tied with Latin America as the highest load factor among the regions.
  • Middle East carriers had a 4.9% demand increase, which was the lowest among the regions. The market segment to and from North America continues to be affected by the now-lifted ban on personal electronic devices, as well as a wider impact stemming from the proposed travel restrictions to the US from certain countries. Capacity rose 4.3% and load factor lifted 0.4 percentage point to 70.1%.
  • North American airlines’ traffic climbed 6.4%, in November. Capacity rose 6.1% and load factor edged up 0.2 percentage point to 79.1%. The relatively vigorous economic backdrop is supporting outbound passenger demand, but this appears partly to be offset by a negative impact on inbound travel to the US from the additional security measures involved with traveling there.
  • Latin American airlines’ November traffic climbed 7.2% compared to November 2016. This was broadly in line with the region’s five-year average growth rate, although on a seasonally-adjusted basis, volumes are still below the peak level reached in July 2017. Capacity also increased by 7.2%, keeping load factor flat at 81.9%.
  • African airlines experienced a 7.9% rise in demand compared to November 2016. Volumes have started to trend upwards strongly again in seasonally-adjusted terms in recent months, in line with an improvement in business confidence in key economies including Kenya and Nigeria. Indicators in South Africa, by contrast, are still consistent with falling economic activity. Capacity rose 3.7% and load factor climbed 2.7 percentage points to 68.3%.
Domestic Passenger Markets             
Domestic travel demand rose 7.8% in November 2017 compared to the same month in 2016, up from a 7.2% year-over-year increase in October. All markets showed growth, led again by India and China. Domestic capacity climbed 5.9%, and load factor improved 1.4 percentage points to 83.6%.    
     
November 2017
(% year-on-year)       
World share¹
RPK
ASK
PLF     
(%-pt)²     
PLF
(level)³  
Domestic
36.4%     
7.8%
5.9%    
1.4%      
83.6% 
Australia
1.0%
3.3%
-0.5%
3.0%
82.0%
Brazil 
1.2%
6.2%
3.6%
2.0%
82.9%
China P.R             
8.7%
14.1%
12.9%       
0.9%
82.9%             
India             
1.3%
16.4%
10.4%
4.6%
89.3%
Japan             
1.1%
6.7%
0.7%             
4.3%
77.5%
Russian Fed.             
1.3%
7.6%         
0.9% 
4.9%           
79.0%
US
15.0%
4.9%      
3.9%
0.8%
85.8%
¹% of industry RPKs in 2016   ²Year-on-year change in load factor   ³Load factor level  *Note: the seven domestic passenger markets for which broken-down data are available account for 30% of global total RPKs and approximately 82% of total domestic RPKs       
  • India’s domestic traffic rose 16.4% in November, marking the 39th consecutive month of double-digit domestic growth.
  • Australia’s domestic traffic rose 3.3% in November, compared to November 2016, which was a 14-month high. This has occurred against a backdrop of tightening capacity, which dropped 0.5% in November.




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Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Latest Aviation Incidents January 10 2018


ZS-NMO      SA Express DH8D at Cape Town and Bloemfontein on Jul 18th 2014, engine cowling separated   

   A SA Express de Havilland Dash 8-400, registration ZS-NMO performing flight SA-1081 from Cape Town to Bloemfontein (South Africa) with 19 passengers and 4 crew, was climbing through FL160 out of Cape...
read more
D-AEWK      Eurowings A320 near Dusseldorf and London on Jan 5th 2018, fumes on board  

   A Eurowings Airbus A320-200, registration D-AEWK performing flight EW-9464 from Dusseldorf (Germany) to London Heathrow,EN (UK), was climbing out of Dusseldorf when passengers in the aft cabin began...
read more                        
N362NW      Delta A320 at Minneapolis on Jan 8th 2018, engine shut down in flight 

   A Delta Airlines Airbus A320-200, registration N362NW performing flight DL-2894 from Minneapolis,MN to Sioux Falls,SD (USA) with 125 people on board, was in the initial climb out of Minneapolis'...
read more
SP-TVZ      Smartwings B738 at Nantes on Jan 6th 2018, flock of birds 

   A Travel Service Poland/Smartwings Boeing 737-800, registration SP-TVZ performing flight QS-3402 from Nantes (France) to Tenerife South,CI (Spain) with 150 people on board, was in the initial climb...
read more
EI-ENY      Ryanair B738 near Milan on Jan 8th 2018, turbulence injures two 

   A Ryanair Boeing 737-800, registration EI-ENY performing flight FR-8928 from Liverpool,EN (UK) to Malta (Malta), was enroute at FL390 about 60nm south of Milan (Italy) when the aircraft encountered...
read more
VQ-BWA      Aeroflot B738 near Moscow on Jan 9th 2018, video system acts as sparkler 

   An Aeroflot Boeing 737-800, registration VQ-BWA performing flight SU-1415 (dep Jan 8th) from Ekaterinburg to Moscow Sheremetyevo (Russia) with 149 people on board, was descending towards Moscow when...
read more



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NEW 'PAY ON RESULTS' SEARCH STARTS FOR MISSING MH370 AIRCRAFT



Full story:  https://julianbrayrecessionbuster07944217476.blogspot.co.uk/search?q=mh370

The search for missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 will be resumed after the Malaysian government signed a 'no cure-no pay'  contingency contract with an underwater survey company Ocean Infinity.

Julian Bray Aviation expert will b discussing this live on BBC Radio Kent Drivetime at 17:45pm later today (Wednesday).

The search firm will only be paid on results; with a sliding scale determining the actual  amount to be paid in the event of the firm locating the aircraft within a given timescale and a defined geographic search area, which is thought by using known and projected oceanic drift patterns, to be north of the previously intensively trawled search area.  

Announcing the new arrangements Malaysian Transport Minister Liow Tiong Lai said the country has an "unwavering commitment to solving the mystery of MH370".

The aircraft vanished from radar screens on 8 March 2014, it departed Kuala Lumpur, heading for Beijing, there were 39 people on board, the search operation was suspended in January last year. This subsequently led to widespread protests in both Malaysia and China from relatives of those who perished.
The Malaysia Airlines MH370 flight took off for Beijing and should have flown on a north-easterly route over Cambodia and Vietnam, into China.

A few hours into the flight, all communications ceased, and some satellite tracking experts at Eutelsat suggest the plane then turned west and headed south.
 
Tracking data later released by the Malaysian authorities appeared to confirm that the plane crashed in the Indian Ocean, south-west of Australia.

Full story: https://julianbrayrecessionbuster07944217476.blogspot.co.uk/search?q=mh370



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Monday, 8 January 2018

The AAIB is sending a team to Overbury, Worcestershire to investigate an accident to a light aircraft.


AAIB Vehicle
The AAIB is sending a team to investigate a light aircraft accident that occurred near Overbury, Worcestershire.


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BRITISH AIRWAYS: SIT UPRIGHT NO RECLINING IN THE NEW RECARO FIXED SEATING SAYS BA INSIDER..



A British Airways spokesperson has confirmed the airline will catch up with budget carriers by installing seats that do not recline - on services of up to four hours duration.

BA will fit non-reclining seats on its 35 new A320neos and A321neos, which should be in service later this year. The new seats will be fixed at a “gentle recline”, eliminating the possibility of passengers encroaching on the legroom of the people sitting behind them (they say....)
The news comes after BA already said it would add an extra two rows of seats to the new aircraft by reducing legroom by one inch.

A BA spokesperson said: “These changes will also allow us to offer more low fares to customers.” The airline also claims it will install at-seat power as well as onboard wifi.

A bulletin poster MFCC on the Flyertalk bulletin board lifts the lid on what is really in store for British Airways passengers.. This is what he/she wrote:

 BA have begun training for Mixed Fleet (MF) and Established Fleet (EF) crews on the new NEOs (extended range option) entering service next year. I had mine the other week. A couple of bits:

  • First 320N delivered March, first 321N delivered September

  • All LHR 320 and 321CEOs to be retrofitted with new seating and SpaceFlex Galleys. The first refurbished 321C is in Prestwick being worked on now (first service provisionally the PMI on the 6th Jan).

  • A319s are going to LGW as are Sharklet fitted A320s. Do not believe there are plans to refurbish these.

  • Pinnacle seats (current) for the first 12 rows on 320C&N, and the first 14 rows on 321C&Ns. These will have both USB and a conventional plug socket

  • New Recaro seats aft of Club which will just have USB power. These seats will not recline.

  • 321Ns will have overwing exits and 3 main door pairs instead of current 4 door pairs.

  • No video screens, life jacket manual demo every time and the life jackets will have tapes that clip and not a double bow to tie (yay!)

  • Club loads will be capped on long flights due to limited available galley space. This won’t be a problem on short sectors as trays are smaller and no starters etc.

  • There’s no waste bins or cold potable (drinkable) water tap at the rear, so all water runs and clear ins in ET will have to be made from the Club galley after they have completed their service.

  • There are new ovens which are apparently the same as the 350. These give more options for cooking. For the Winter 2018 menu there may be M&S hot meals included in the BOB (buy on board) options, but this is yet to be confirmed.

  • No duty free on any short haul flights, no space for the trolleys!


  • Some changes coming to Club Europe service in April, this wasn’t elaborated on too much.

  • BOB (Buy On Board) is here to stay, as is M&S. There are no plans to add free water/tea/coffee despite any rumours.



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AIRLINE GROUPS ARE ALL PREPARED FOR A UK HARD BREXIT FROM THE EU



Julian Bray aviation expert writes:Airlines currently operating in, or have flights servicing the UK, have all now completed arrangements, to either set up new European firms (i.e. inside the EU) or UK operating units ( outside the EU). Many are already headquartered inside the EU, so in order to access the UK market post brexit many have obtained new air operating licences.  
 
In effect, where one air operators licence previously serviced the whole of the pre-brexit EU, two are now required with the UK soon to be placed outside the EU.
 
Most airline groups have effectively discounted, and in some cases are highly dismissive of current political efforts, seen as being too little, too late, lacking a sense of commercial urgency, politically weak, and more concerned about not losing face.

They view Mrs Mays increasing intervention, as a sign that the specially set up Brexit department isn't working.  They point to the high number of jobs being churned within the department and the negotiating collective inexperience of the newly drafted in junior civil servants filling the gaps and making up the round table backroom teams. A point not lost on the seemingly more experienced Europeans...
 
Faced with the clear lack of meaningful progress and the political weakness of the current conservative government, many airlines have retargeted their marketing efforts and some will focus almost exclusively on Europe mainland destinations.

A few will take an innovative jobbing approach to the UK, using airlines on an ad- hoc charter basis to feed passengers in groups directly into their European airport hubs for onward flights.
 
It is already happening in terms of air cargo as some shipments are being transferred in and out of the EU by road before being placed on flights in the appropriate trading area. DHL for example will route small packet traffic from the US market via Germany rather than directly to the UK, expect more arrangements of this type to appear. 

The aviation industry is not only sending a message to our politicians, they are hedging their options.  However brexit turns out, some airlines will survive, but a few will go under due to the uncertainty of financial markets and the increasing strength of the US dollar.  Happy New Year..


@JULIANBRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert,
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Sunday, 7 January 2018

AIRPORT LICENCED BARS TO FACE PERMITTED HOURS RESTRICTIONS ALTHOUGH EXISTING LAWS ON SELLING DRINKS TO DRUNKS ALREADY EXIST

It may be pub hours for airport bars in future, no matter who you drink or fly with ...

 
Pubs and bars will be allowed to stay open late for the Royal wedding in May, under plans announced today.
 
The Home Office is hoping to extend licencing hours until 1am across Britain on Friday, May 18 and Saturday, May 19.
 
Prince Harry and Meghan Markle are due to wed on May 19 at St George's Chapel at Windsor Castle, the same day as the FA Cup final.
 
Licensing hours were previously extended for the wedding of Harry's brother William to Kate Middleton in 2011 and for the Queen's 90th birthday in 2016.



Although restrictions may at sometime in the future be placed on the sale of alcohol at UK airports, in an effort to reduce the number of drink-related rage incidents taking place on aircraft.

Airport bar operators are already subject to UK legislation which absolutely prohibits sale of alcoholic drinks and products to those who appear to be drunk, or in the opinion of the licensee, should be refused service. The bar operator can call for assistance by police to maintain the integrity of the bar licence.
 
It is however true that Airports are currently exempt from legislation governing the 'permitted hours' or when they when they can sell alcohol, but those sales of alcohol can only be to those passengers who do not appear to be drunk. Selling alcohol to drunks is still against the UK licencing laws.

In 2017, a House of Lords report in 2017 found disruptive incidents on flights "more often than not" involved passengers who had had alcohol before boarding.
A BBC investigation also found a 50% increase in arrests of drunken flyers. Julian Bray Aviation expert (and former freehouse licence holder) commented on the BBC findings when the ground breaking BBC Investigation was released in a wideranging series of broadcasts and television interviews.

Link: https://julianbrayrecessionbuster07944217476.blogspot.co.uk/search?q=AIRPORT+DRUNKS

The Home Office says passengers should be able to enjoy their holidays without having their flight disrupted by "a small minority of people".
It is expected to begin assessing the impact of implementing the Licensing Act 2003 on airside premises - as recommended in a Lords committee report - in a few weeks.
Airport pubs and bars can currently sell alcohol at any time of the day.

If introduced, the act would give councils the power to restrict the timing of alcohol sales and bring the rules governing airport bars in line with the UK high street.
It would also give them the additional ability to close down bars that breached the limits, although that already exists under existing licencing laws.

But has Ryanairmarketing dept. read the email? Nice picture....You decide:

 
 


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@JULIANBRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert, ... http://feeds.feedburner.com/BraysDuckhouseBlogwww.aviationcomment.com,  ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121  ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment,   ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

Last flying orders? DRUNK DRONE FLYING BAN TO BE INTRODUCED IN NEW JERSEY 'SOMETIME SOON'

In the USA the sales of UAVs or Drones in 2017 has exceeded $1 billion, however having a pre-drone flight alcoholic tipple in New Jersey, could land you in jail if  lawmakers put a legal ban on  'drunken drone operations' in the next few days.
 
And its not just New Jersey considering imposing new controls over the use of drones. As it stands in the UK, the Air Navigation Orders already cover such drone abuse.


 

The story is that New Jersey’s Assembly is soon to vote on a bill already approved by the state Senate 'to ban inebriated or drugged droning,' In addition they will seek to outlaw flying unmanned aircraft types over prisons and in tracking wildlife.

The vote was originally set for Thursday, but due to the current series of extreme weather events, has been postponed until Monday, as a state of emergency currently exists in snowbound New Jersey.
 

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