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Julian Bray provides: Opinion, comment, forward thinking speculation, keynote presentations and workshops for corporate organisations on Travel, Cruise & Aviation: conflict zones, terrorist impact, drone (UAV) issues, safety (black boxes, emergencies), airline operations, aviation finance, political implications, and all forms of incident risk. He operated at board level with several airline and aviation groups, including Alitalia, British Island Airways, British Airways, Galileo , British Aerospace, Skyways, former CEO City firm Leadenhall Assoc. Founder CNS City News Service. Director NTN Television News (joint co. with ITV Wales TWW) Debretts People 2017 and in launch edition of PRWeek Black Book. Journalist and Broadcaster. After-dinner speaker and presenter.

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Saturday, 19 March 2011

So what is about to happen in Libya?

















So what is about to happen in Libya? Aviation Expert Julian Bray writes:


There is little to be gained by a daylight attack and the news that Italian Airbases and Corsica will be uses as forward posts means that a night attack is at the top of the list and not reliant on aircraft carriers being in place at this early stage. They say, humans are at their lowest ebb at 3-4am in the morning, so that would be the time to move in.


Expect high level bombing , unmanned drones,and a certain amount of tactical missile shoots to initially take out ground air defences and troops with the skill of a surgeon.


Also expect the despot to draft in bus loads of rebel human shields and to also draft his 'supporters' and (not so willingly on past experience) the foreign media brigade into areas likely to be hit by the UN backed alliance. So a rapid exit for aliens, media, is very good practical advice for today.


A multiple target night attack, when all good Libyans should be at home in bed and well away from the designated locked - on targets should give them all a clue that acting as a human shield is not a good long term career prospect.


Every one of the targets was mapped years ago and the data has been kept right up to date. Canadian fighter jets and support moved through Glasgow Prestwick Airport earlier today which supports the night attack timetable (Incidentially Elvis Presley briefly touched down at Prestwick, on his way to West Germany as a GI, the only time he ever landed on British soil!).


Once the attack does begin, expect the initial burst to be heavy and to last some 4 hours, then a brief respite, the objective to hit the main world television news outlets. The respite will enable ambulance teams to take out the casualties and they are expected to be high.


In addition to securing Libya, the whole exercise is desiged to send a not so coded message to all other despots that the UN is effectively under new management and now open for some active business.


The security council by passing resolution 1973 - the most liberal and wide ranging ever ,also signals there is no going back and the countries that traditionally may have blocked or abstained have clearly had enough. A new world order perhaps? We live in very strange times.


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