Missing Flight MH 370 On January 29th 2015 MH370 has been officially declared an accident and all on board presumed dead

Missing Flight MH 370  On January 29th 2015  MH370 has been officially declared an accident and all 239 passengers and crew on board presumed dead.

The announcement paves the way for an insurance payments to be made but does not in reality take us any closer to finding the missing aircraft, now regarded as being on the sea floor of the Indian Ocean. The search continues but may now be scaled back.

An interim report into MH370's disappearance will be made public on March 7, a day before the one year anniversary of the plane going missing.

JULIAN BRAY ++44(0)1733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN ++44 (0)1733 345020 (DUAL CODEC) SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe http://feeds.feedburner.com/BraysDuckhouseBlog


Julian Bray writes: The above truly astonishing background note was given to BBC Radio Surrey and clearly the extra runway lobby will be furious. This is something not to be broadcast in the public domain...hopefully a PR mans head will roll, or knighted, depending on your political outlook.

For the first time, it is now confirmed that in Heathrow effectively compressing the water table under acres of concrete, it will create an additional flood risk in areas not previously prone to flooding. In short the Environment Agency will have to re-calculate its flood maps for the entire region effectively blighting a whole new range of properties, farms, estates and smallholdings placing others at a new risk of flooding. Especially as Parliament just yesterday (January 26th) has now given the green light to FRACKING!!!  Simply once insurable properties in prime locations will see premiums rocket to eye-watering proportions...

Exclusive - Heathrow tells BBC Surrey it's likely to invest in flood defences. Airport sent us this "background info"pic.twitter.com/kyqXc19gwV 

This is how it works. According to the background note Heathrow as part of the expansion programme will look at the flood footprint many miles away from the airport. The focus will be on the Colne and Wraysbury Rivers but will take in all perceived flood threats to Heathrow. The only way Heathrow can ensure its own plot remains flood free is to divert or contain the floodwater  elsewhere.

By targeting the Colne and Wraysbury, they effectively have two options create new flood fields or plains by buying up strategic farmland with the intention that it should take the flood water , and as they put it " [buy up] land for balancing reservoirs to attenuate water" ie create huge  new lakes many miles away from Heathrow possibly floodwaterpumps all along the rivers Colne and Wraysbury and possibly enlarge storm drains, put in new floodwater pumping stations to carry the water a long way from Heathrow to  " additional flood storage."  Realistically "additional flood storage" is a series of man made lakes or simply releasing the pumped water into flood fields or outflowing into other waterways not currently associated with a flood risk, thus creating 'new at risk but possibly lower value damage flood containment zones'. 

The problem with water is that you can move it, but you cannot ever compress it. Water will always find its own level somewhere.  The more you bear down on the overall water table, the greater is the flooding problem in adjoining areas. That creates a ripple effect so the flood risk area spreads.  

The final line suggests providing investment for local flood defences. The Conservatives have  consistently hacked away at the flood defence budget and it would take the whole proposed £16 billion investment just to get back to where  we were 10 years ago.   Simply Heathrow have now belatedly flagged up the enormity of the flood risk that faces the population within a 100 mile radius of  London Heathrow.   Simply if you own property in areas adjoining known flood risk areas, the combination of fracking and Heathrow robustly dealing with any additional flood risk problem caused by its runway expansion programme; then seriously consider selling - do it quickly...

So well done BBC local  newsrooms, a truly mega exclusive for BBC Radio Surrey in particular, news on tap as it were.....and a suitably fluid response!

JULIAN BRAY ++44(0)1733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN ++44 (0)1733 345020 (DUAL CODEC) SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe



Seven Northeastern USA states are on a major Storm Watch alert as a potentially record-setting storm is now churning up the coast and threatening to dump more than 2-4 inches of snow.

Some 3,000  flights scheduled for Monday and Tuesday have already been cancelled, and those that are still running, are predicting delays. 

This major disruption to schedules will impact on the UK and Europe as aircraft will be out of position or frozen in to weather affected airports. All passengers are advised to check with their carrier BEFORE heading to Airports not only in the USA but also in the UK and Europe.

Winter Storm Juno is due to hit on Monday, and last right through until Wednesday. Communities ranging from the New Jersey shore to Maine — including the City of New York, Boston, Providence, Hartford and Portland — are all bracing for the impact.

More than 28 million people may be affected by power failures, severe travel disruptions and extreme  cold and widespread ice conditions. In the UK, adverse winter conditions are expected to impact in most parts of the UK.

JULIAN BRAY ++44(0)1733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN ++44 (0)1733 345020 (DUAL CODEC) SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe


Julian Bray writes: According to sources in Dublin, the Irish airline - 25% Government owned  - Aer Lingus, is set to go ahead with an agreed takeover offer from IAG GROUP who own British Airways and Iberia, the Spanish carrier, but code shares with BA.

 The latest  offer is around €2.50 (£1.87) per share. The longform approval process could be completed within a matter of days. Frankly if Aer Lingus was still flying Tiger Moths and Dakotas, the offer still makes financial sense in aviation terms, as the value is tied up in the astronomical value placed in one take off and one landing which when paired are termed slots. No slots, no flights, it really is as simple as that!  British Caledonian was taken over by BA simply to acquire the slots, the B-CAL airline soon dismantled and forgotten. As was BMI.

The current market price for a SINGLE SLOT non shoulder time ie a pair or 'slot' is around $30 million, but when a strategic package of slots come on the market, it becomes a sellers market and any number is possible. There is also an outside chance that another major carrier could launch a rival bid at the eleventh hour.  Its all about the slots!

 The Aer Lingus table value is circa  €1.3bn (£971m), but IAG Chief  Willie Walsh will face opposition from Ryanair who are sitting on a 29.8% stake and possibly the Irish Government with its 25% stake. They will seek to add an additional premium to the slot package value.  

Aer Lingus is ranked behind BA, Lufthansa and Virgin Atlantic at London Heathrow. Willie Walsh, knows the target airline inside out. He was the Aer Lingus boss for a few years from 2001/5 then decamped to BA as chief executive. If it goes ahead its bad news for staff  in all three airlines and aircraft manufacturers, as staff consolidations and aircraft order reductions will certainly be on the cards, and quickly once the deal goes through.

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website

Robert Burns (1759-1796) Address to a Haggis in FULL

BURNS NIGHT - and no one can ever quickly find the Grace.  Here it is.
Remember the Gravy is a dram of single Malt poured directly into the heart of the opened Haggis ...and have a dram yourself

Robert Burns (1759–1796).  Poems and Songs.
The Harvard Classics.  1909–14.
147. Address to a Haggis
FAIR fa’ your honest, sonsie face,
Great chieftain o’ the pudding-race!
Aboon them a’ ye tak your place,
                    Painch, tripe, or thairm:
Weel are ye wordy o’a grace        5
                    As lang’s my arm.
The groaning trencher there ye fill,
Your hurdies like a distant hill,
Your pin was help to mend a mill
                    In time o’need,        10
While thro’ your pores the dews distil
                    Like amber bead.
[At this point on the word knife, stab the Haggis several times]

His knife see rustic Labour dight,

An’ cut you up wi’ ready sleight,
Trenching your gushing entrails bright,        15
                    Like ony ditch;
And then, O what a glorious sight,
                    Warm-reekin’, rich!
Then, horn for horn, they stretch an’ strive:
Deil tak the hindmost! on they drive,        20
Till a’ their weel-swall’d kytes belyve
                    Are bent like drums;
Then auld Guidman, maist like to rive,
                    Bethankit! hums.
Is there that owre his French ragout        25
Or olio that wad staw a sow,
Or fricassee wad make her spew
                    Wi’ perfect sconner,
Looks down wi’ sneering, scornfu’ view
                    On sic a dinner?        30
Poor devil! see him owre his trash,
As feckles as wither’d rash,
His spindle shank, a guid whip-lash;
                    His nieve a nit;
Thro’ blody flood or field to dash,        35
                    O how unfit!
But mark the Rustic, haggis-fed,
The trembling earth resounds his tread.
Clap in his walie nieve a blade,
                    He’ll mak it whissle;        40
An’ legs an’ arms, an’ hands will sned,
                    Like taps o’ trissle.
Ye Pow’rs, wha mak mankind your care,
And dish them out their bill o’ fare,
Auld Scotland wants nae skinking ware        45
                    That jaups in luggies;
But, if ye wish her gratefu’ prayer
                    Gie her a haggis!

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website


Timed to mark its 30th Anniversary,  Ryanair are announcing six new destinations: 
 Clermont, Cologne, Deauville, Edinburgh, Glasgow and Ponta Delgada (The Azores).
The airline is also offer more flights and uprated schedules on 40 other routes this year, including Edinburgh and Glasgow, services will increase from three to four times a day by winter 2015 in response to "phenomenal demand" from business customers.
In true Michael O'Leary  style, the chief executive claimed the new enhanced range of services take the number of routes Ryanair offers up to 130 in total, more than British Airways offers from Heathrow ....
"Ryanair is pleased to launch six new London Stansted routes – to Clermont, Cologne, Deauville, Edinburgh, Glasgow International and Ponta Delgada (Azores) – and increased frequencies on 40 other routes. UK visitors and customers can choose from a total of 130 exciting Stansted summer routes, which will annually deliver over 17m customers through London Stansted, as we grow by 12%," said Ryanair chief executive Michael O’Leary.
Earlier, the airline announced a new route from Glasgow International to Berlin.
NEWSLINES NOTE: It can only be hoped the airports rail connection is also improved, the only way to reach Peterborough in Cambridgeshire after 9pm from Stansted  is to take a train into London,, Kings Cross, taxi or tube transfer and a train out of Euston on the East Coast Main Line to Peterborough.  

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website

AirAsia flight QZ8501: Fuselage recovery by bouyancy bag begins;wreck could be floating by Sunday

Salvage operation in Java Sea, 21 Jan
Buoyancy bags will be attached by lines to the sunken fuselage of the AirAsia aircraft
The grim recovery operation surrounding AirAsia QZ8501,flying on a route from Surabaya in Indonesia to Singapore, has entered a new phase as divers taking advantage of a complete change in weather conditions are again attempting to attach 'sausage shaped buoyancy bags' in an attempt to raise the torn fuselage of the wrecked Airbus A320-200. The first attempt failed as the hawsers chafed on the shards of metal and snapped. 
A violent thunderstorm, incorrect air speed data, caused by a frozen external pitot tube air speed marker, resulting in duff information fed into the aircrafts many computer systems are all lines of enquiry suggested by an initial investigation of the previously recovered 'black boxes' an interim report is expected within days. 
The flight deck voice recorder suggests several prime alarms were sounding, and for some time, drowning out the pilots conversations and frantic attempts to recover the aircraft. As the nose and wings lifted the aircraft would lose lift on top of the wing surfaces and finally tipped into an uncontrolled spiral, then dropping like a stone and hitting the water.     

The head of Indonesia's transportation safety committee, Tatang Kurniadi, suggested a preliminary report on the crash is expected to be filed with the International Civil Aviation Organisation next week.   Transport Minister Ignasius Jonan revealed that radar images had plotted the jet in  a steep climb and far too fast - at a rate of 6,000ft (1,828m) a minute.

He said: "It is not normal to climb like that. Commercial planes, which normally climb just 1,000 to 2,000 feet per minute. It [higher rates of climb]  can only be done by a fighter jet."

The jet took off from Surabaya at 05:35 local time (22:35 GMT 27 December).

Shortly before it vanished, nearly halfway into the two-hour flight, its pilot contacted air traffic control to request permission to climb to 38,000ft from 32,000ft to avoid big storm clouds - a common occurrence in the area. Permission was refused.

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website


1,700 Private Jets Fly to Davos to Discuss Global Warming

You really could not make this up!  But more importantly why is Prince Andrew stumping up $40,000 for a ticket to enter the World Forum. And if he didn't pay who did?


Indonesia's transport minister Ignasius Jonan working back from nearly half the data already transcribed from the Air Asia Flight 8501 'black box' is tonight claiming the AirAsia plane that crashed last month killing all 162 passengers and crew on board was climbing "at an abnormally high rate, then plunged and suddenly disappeared from radar screens".

flybe: now Inverness gets the 'Loganair aircraft stuck in mud' treatment. No one injured.

A LOGANAIR/Flybe aircraft (Delta Mike) from Manchester, with 47 passengers and two crew onboard has ended up in the mud, following a safe landing.

The incident is reported to have happened earlier this morning during a taxi manoeuvre, during which the aircraft slid off the runway at Inverness Airport.


Its something Julian Bray has been campaigning for, and with luck, plus a positive ICAO vote, long-haul Airbus A350 and A380 civil aviation jets will soon be equipped with ejectable data and voice recorders  also known as black boxes. After ejection these will float using airbag technology making them easier to find in an air crash at sea or on land as the units will be apart from the immediate debris or impact site.

The International Civil Aviation Organization [ICAO] is voting next month, specifically on a recommendation of one its working groups to equip commercial airliners with the technology already in use on military aircraft.

AirAsia QZ8501 Singapore Navy ship locates the fuselage. Ng Eng Hen Defence Minister releases statement

Ng Eng Hen Defence Minister releases statement

Julian Bray will be considering the latest developments live, and in vision, initially on the Singapore based Channel News Asia Television Network on Thursday January 15th at 21:05 hrs (Singapore time).

Chief of Navy RADM Lai Chung Han just informed me that one of SAF’s ships, the MV Swift Rescue, has located the fuselage of the AirAsia plane in the Java Sea.



Delta Air Lines Boeing 757  (Flight DELTA 2116) heading to Minneapolis is returning to Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) after the crew reported a problem.

A Federal Aviation Administration source says Flight 2116 experienced a control problem after departure from LAX on Tuesday morning.  The aircraft is in a holding pattern to burn off fuel, for a possible 'heavy' landing.

The Los Angeles Fire Department is stationing emergency equipment on one of  LAXs' four runways.

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website


Cyprus has suspended operations at its flag carrier after the European Commission ordered the struggling airline to pay back over 65 million euros (51 million pounds) in illegal state aid.

The last Cyprus Airways flight was on Friday night, government officials said. The aircraft fleet were then flown to a secret storage location to be hangered.

An Airline tracking website however shortly after confirmed the storage location is in South Wales in the United Kingdom. The aircraft if allowed to continue operation, possibly landing at commercial airports could be seized by Court officers acting on behalf of creditors.

  Airport Webcams@AirportWebcams 20 hours ago
The now-defunct Cyprus Airways is storing its A320s @ St Athan, S. Wales. 5B-DCJ & K are in, H & M are en-route now.


EU Competition Commissioner Margrethe Vestager said Cyprus Airways had no chance of becoming viable without continued state subsidies, meaning money paid out in 2012 and 2013 as part of a restructuring package would have to be recovered. The restructuring plan was "based on unrealistic assumptions" the EU Commission said.   Under EU rules a company can only receive state assistance once every 10 years, and the airline had already been bailed out in 2007.

Air Asia QZ8501 'Black Boxes' located, one already on board recovery ship

Speaking in Jakarta, The head of Indonesia's search and rescue agency Bambang Soelistyo confirmed during a news conference : "I received information from the National Transport Safety Committee chief that at 07:11 (00:11 GMT), we succeeded in bringing up part of the black box that we call the flight data recorder."

He said the flight data recorder was found under the wreckage of a wing some distance from the main crash locus. This seems to confirm Julian Brays earlier suggestion the aircraft entered the water at high velocity possibly spinning and broke up on impact with the sea.

A few hours later, it was reported the second part of the data system the cockpit voice recorder had also been detected but divers had not yet managed to reach it.Indonesia's search and rescue agency, suggested that based on initial analysis of the wreckage, the plane could have "exploded" upon landing on the water.

The two recorders, some 30 metres under the sea, in this case confirmed by the airline owner as being housed near the tail section, are solid state and designed to survive a crash, fire and being immersed in water or other fluids. They also contain underwater locator beacons sending out "pings" every 30 seconds for a minimum of at least 30 days from the inbuilt battery having a shelf life of some six years. Normally experts would expect the recovered units would be kept in a submerged state in a tank of sea water, but  early television pictures appear to show at least one of the units  still attached to debris and lashed down, secured to the recovery ship aft deck. Later images show the unit has now been transferred to a sealed fresh water filled transit tank.

Supriyadi, operations co-ordinator for Indonesia's search and rescue agency, said that based on initial analysis of the wreckage, the plane could have "exploded" upon landing on the water. The data from the two recorders will confirm if this is correct.

He told the AFP news agency:"The cabin was pressurised and before the pressure of the cabin could be adjusted, it went down - boom. That explosion was heard in the area,"

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website

Why is David Cameron dropping everything for a rushed 2 day trip to Washington in a few days time?

US President Barack Obama  posted a News Release on January 10, 2015  4:19 pm -  Its important for what it is not saying, and the rushed timing (in five days time) of a 2-day trip by David Cameron to the White House.

Tabled for discussion: "Russia’s actions in Ukraine"
President Obama will host Prime Minister David Cameron of the United Kingdom at the White House on Thursday and Friday, January 15-16. 

Prime Minister Cameron’s visit highlights the breadth, depth and strength of our relationship with the United Kingdom, as well as the strong bonds of friendship between the American and British people. 

The President and Prime Minister Cameron will have a working dinner at the White House on Thursday, January 15th and a meeting in the Oval Office on Friday, January 16th. 

The two leaders will discuss a range of issues including economic growth, international trade, cybersecurity, Iran, ISIL, counterterrorism, Ebola, and Russia’s actions in Ukraine. 

The United Kingdom is an uniquely close friend and steadfast ally, and the President looks forward to beginning the New Year by working with Prime Minister Cameron on these issues and reaffirming the enduring special relationship between the United States and the United Kingdom.

 Julian Bray writes: Clearly with the  tragic events of the last few days, and under normal circumstances a meeting between the two leaders is a good idea but with a UK General Election  due in early May and the distinct possibility of yet another hung parliament or even the possibility of two General Elections this year; you really wonder why its been scheduled at all? 

DHL Cargo Boeing 763 over Atlantic on Dec 30th 2014, multiple flight instruments failed in flight


A DHL Air Boeing 767-300, registration G-DHLG flight number D0-971 from New York JFK,NY (USA) to East Midlands,EN (UK) with 2 crew on board, was enroute Flight Level 35000 ft some 200nm south of Gander,NL (Canada) when the crew received multiple warning messages and multiple flight instruments failed for several seconds.

The crew declared emergency, turned north and diverted to Gander for a safe overweight landing about 45 minutes later.

The Canadian Transportation Safety Board  reported that maintenance replaced the DC standby circuit breaker and associated relay, tested the systems and then returned the aircraft to service.


JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website

Is PARIS a blue print for more terrorist action in the UK and throughout Europe?


Julian Bray writes: The unfolding catalogue of horrors being widely reported in France, with fresh hostage takers and innocent bystanders being gunned down, seems to be entering a new phase as the various incidents are now being formally linked as part of a far wider campaign. The wave of Paris attacks bearing some of the hallmarks of jihadists, indoctrinated and possibly funded by the cash-rich al-Qaeda movement.

The problem for the French authorities and our own home grown administration is simply this generational breed of career terrorist does not work to conventional methods or ideals, they welcome the opportunity of being martyrs. The authorities - even if contact is established =- have to convince them that although they will be arrested, charged and will appear in Court, they will be legally represented but then have an opportunity to publicly put their views to a wider world audience during the trial.

If the suspects choose a 'suicide by cop' option this opportunity will be denied them. Not much of an option but at least it opens up a form of dialogue. Closer to home it adds a new dimension to the coming UK General Election, no more cuts to our already stretched armed forces and cuts in regional police numbers but significant NEW investment in the military, security and what the Americans call Homeland Security.

This should now rewrite the whole thrust of the election campaign, for all parties. It also puts a question mark over our own current political masters. The 'long term economic plan' and other electioneering mantras looks a bit thin and  just like going through a domestic divorce, wrecks any form of  planned finance. Simply it has just been literally shot to ribbons.

The party that puts 'defence of the realm' at the forefront of its election manifesto, now has to be the way ahead, or even consider cancelling the General Election and put us effectively gearing up for a 'war' footing. This has great economic implications, any type of war is expensive.

Time for pet projects to be unringfenced and that has to include all forms of international aid or support, and for example an immediate ban on overseas trips for MPs.

The British public no longer wish to hear or read about social security cuts, the NHS, or the wholly misplaced High Speed Railway.

Sharing a joke in Stockport, whilst terrorists in Paris are shooting people.
The Prime Minister David Cameron and the Chancellor defer a COBRA meeting by a day,
 so they can complete their visit to Stockport

In Paris. Cold blooded professional killers shoot 11 people dead, 2 Policemen killed, Magazine Editor and Lead Cartoonist murdered, and some 50 people have been injured, 4 critically injured in highly targeted attack.

Breaking News

#BREAKING: Paris Deputy Mayor tells @CNN that #CharlieHebdo gunmen may have been arrested. 2 of them are brothers. All 3 have been id'd





Paris media reported that some 12 people shot dead, 2 Policemen killed and some 50 people have been injured, 4 critically injured in highly targeted attack.

Gunmen had precise location and asked for journalist victims by name, having walked up two flights of stairs, down a hallway/corridor to the Paris based magazines offices.


A woman is believed to have set herself on fire in a public waiting room at a police station in West Dunbartonshire.

Police and emergency service were called to Clydebank Police Office shortly before 10am on Wednesday.

STV are reporting the woman suffered serious burn injuries while in the public waiting area in the station.

It has now been closed to the public.

A Police Scotland spokeswoman said: "Around 9.55am on Wednesday, police were called to a report of a woman being injured on Montrose Street, Clydebank.

"Emergency service are currently at the scene. Due to the ongoing incident the front desk at Clydebank Police Office has been closed to the public."

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website

AIR ASIA QZ8501 positive sighting and first images of Airbus tail section found in newly extended 2nd Priority search area

JULIAN BRAY writes: Wednesday 7th January 2015 brings some positive news as the tail section  (aka vertical stabiliser) of the missing Air Asia Airbus QZ8501 has been located. It is hoped both black boxes are fixed in this tail section area (if they are, it would be a right hand sectional fitting)  depending on the original aircraft build, the units could however be in a variety of different locations, above the galley (kitchen) being a favourite. Search teams will however have the original specification and schematic plans, as Airbus specialists are already on site.

The speculation is that if the vertical stabiliser had broken away, possibly during an aerodynamic stall, the rest of the aircraft would have spiralled out of control into the sea.

It is also widely understood the wing sections effective lift properties rapidly decrease in proportion to the nose being pointed upwards, in the stall position.

The question still remains, why didn't the pilot turn around and go home?

The focus now turns to the two black boxes ( painted bright Orange ) these particular units believed to be made by HONEYWELL located in England. It is likely the recovered units will therefore be sent to Farnborough in the UK, where the worlds most advanced 'black box' decoding systems are based.

Frankie Boyle rewrites the Scotland Political Almanac ....

Frankie Boyle goes all thoughtfully political with RT, and lifts the kilt on where Scotland politically now is. It deserves a plug on here, as we are all likely to suffer with acute boredom as the Nation goes on the 'stump' for the next four months...  I expect Frankie after this will be a hot ticket for Newsnight, not so much The Daily Politics as Andrew Neil hails frae Paisley! But could keep Russell Brand off our screens for a few months!

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website


PETERBOROUGH TRIBUNE #UK #CAMBS #pborocc : BANK FASHION HIGH STREET & INTERNET RETAILER CALLS...: IN ADMINISTRATION Bank, a fashion retailer based in Bury in Lancashire, has fallen into administration. In a short statement  Bill...

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Indonesia's air safety issues continue to dominate local news headlines, we are hearing the transportation ministry is taking 'harsh measures' against everyone who allowed or facilitated AirAsia Flight QZ 8501 to take off allegedly without all the proper paperwork and permissions in place. The sanctions being put into effect include the suspension of the airport's operator and officials in the control tower.

But it doesn't stop there, we also hear that licenses and schedules of all airlines flying in the country are to be examined, will be examined for rule violation, according to  Djoko Murjatmodjo, acting director general, air transportation. Clearly not a happy man and admits they should have been on top of regulatory matters.

Searchers meanwhile combatting bad weather and mid monsoon season continue to grid search the Java Sea for bodies and wreckage of the Airbus A320 that vanished from radar screens on Dec. 28th, killing all 162 passengers and crew on board.


Lewis & Sally Tonkinson, both declared dead at crash site. 
A six-year-old boy is critically ill in hospital following an air crash that has claimed the lives of both of his parents.  The child George Tonkinson suffered multiple injuries and is now in Southampton Hospital.

A light aircraft an
Alpi Pioneer 400G-CGVO (owned by Mr Lewis Tonkinson who died along with his wife)
is thought to have come down in Blackwood Forest, as the pilot Lewis Tonkinson attempted an emergency landing on a grass runway in extreme weather conditions on Saturday afternoon, but hit the nearby woodland, possibly through wind shear, buffeting the light aircraft. 


+++ The #HoeghOsaka ship was carrying over 1,400 expensive 'high end' new cars - including Bentleys worth up to £237,500 EACH! - from Southampton to Bremerhaven in Germany. +++

+++ #HoeghOsaka press conference: Ship started listing after leaving port, Pilot & Master jointly made decision to save crew & vessel by grounding her on bank +++

Julian Bray writes: Why on earth would a Germany bound car transporter, the oceangoing ship MV 'Hoegh Osaka' leave the safety of a well established navigation channel, and end up like a beached whale on the notorious Bramble Bank sandbank in the Solent?

The local Marine Pilot would have been on board, and unless there was a major steering malfunction or mechanical failure - will have a lot of questions to answer and a possible career change!

Like an aircraft, the ship also has the marine version of the black box data recorder usually positioned  near the bow of the ship on the open deck and the unit is around five times larger than the aircraft version.

That is the situation just off the Isle of Wight in the Solent, the latest in a series of marine related incidents. During the hours of darkness, 25 crew members were taken off and salvagers winched on board. Looking at the latest images the degree of list (or tilt) would seem to be over 45% and unless that can be reduced - if not supported by the shifting sandbank - could see the whole vessel keel right over.  At the moment, she isn't taking on water.

The cargo of cars has clearly shifted to the starboard side, sadly many car transporter operators don't full secure their loads as they once did.  Its a calculated risk as the operation takes time and would possibly mean a late departure/arrival. We have yet to find out.

If this carries on for any length of time and the experts are already talking of weeks, the stress placed on the hull will twist or rupture the ship. So it really is now a race against time.

What can be done?

Essentially to float the 51,000 tonnes vessel off the sandbar means that first the stricken ship needs to be righted, so following lines being attached and a series of powerful salvage tugs taking the strain, decreasing the list by a good percentage, then dredging a deep channel alongside the ship becomes an option and effectively rolling the vessel into it, but that requires almost perfect weather, so unlikely.

The next option is to call up giant floating cranes, the Dutch seem to have cornered the market and it'll take days to have them positioned. Expensive... but a prime option.

The cargo could be offloaded to lighten the ship? Unlikely as weather conditions are too rough this time of year, and it would mean opening the watertight doors to remove the vehicles one by one by sea crane. Dangerous.

Attach flotation chambers 'bousons' ? The shifting sandbank would mitigate against this, as again the ship is stranded on the sandbar, and  gently digging itself in with each tide.

Drag it off. Risky but possible if enough lines can be secured on board but also dangerous as the lines or cables have been known to violently whiplash if they break under strain.

Leave it?  A possibility and an ever visible marker of a notorious sandbank, only all fuel and oils would have to be drained and the wreck anchored. Simply its not going to be a quick and easy resolution.... and it is right by a major shipping channel..

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website

Ched Evans, Convicted Professional Footballer Rapist, odds not looking good....

CHED EVANS Convicted Rapist &
Professional Footballer, odds not looking good....

In April 2012, Ched Evans was convicted of rape and sentenced to five years in prison, a conviction which was upheld by the Court of Appeal in November 2012. He was released from prison on 17 October 2014.

BREAKING NEWS: A large car transporter ship 'Hoegh Osaka' has run around in The Solent off the Isle of Wight and is listing 45% angle.

BREAKING NEWS: A large container ship 'Hoegh Osaka' has run around in The Solent off the Isle of Wight and is listing.

Solent Lifeboats are in attendance.

Reuters reports:                  

LONDON (Reuters) - A cargo vessel is grounded in the Solent, a major shipping route off the south coast of England, Britain's Maritime and Coastguard Agency said on Sunday.
The Hoegh Osaka car carrier began listing after leaving Southampton port on Saturday evening and the 25 crew were rescued by helicopter and lifeboat, the coastguard said. There were no life-threatening injuries.

The ship's owner, Hoegh Autoliners, said they were assessing the damage.
"The crew have confirmed that the vessel is not taking in any water and they are presently in a stable position with current list," Hoegh said in a statement.

"Höegh Autoliners are fully co-operating with all the authorities at this time to ensure the vessel remains safe. No pollution has been reported."

Southampton is Britain's largest vehicle handling port, and also home to the country's second-largest container terminal.

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website


The Royal High Courts of Justice in London

Julian Bray comments: With the news that Air Asia was allegedly operating UNLICENSED flights to Singapore on Wednesdays and Sundays and that Sunday included the tragic Air Asia Flight QZ28501. It is now becoming clear that QZ28501 should not have been in the air.

Attention is now turning to insurance companies who may use the unlicensed flight status to refuse  paying out on claims due to the fact that the flight was not officially approved and properly licenced, therefore breaking the terms of the travel policy.

Industry sources are now suggesting that UK Travel Agents (including ABTA High Street Agents) and international holiday firms who have sold packages or air tickets involving any unlicenced Air Asia flight portion of the package, who have previously paid out on claims on Wednesday or Sunday flights; could be seeking repayment of the claim payout. There is also the problem of IATA and bonding arrangements surrounding these allegedly unlicensed Air Asia flights.

For the airline itself it also means that their own restrictive booking conditions are void and legal commentators suggest in theory victims representatives could now start unlimited claims for corporate manslaughter.      

JULIAN BRAY 01733 345581, Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN 01733 345020 SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe > Updates are on the Website



The wreckage of AirAsia Flight 8501 has been detected using sonar equipment, but local weather conditions are still too dangerous to send divers down. Two large objects were imaged lying on the ocean bed.

Julian Bray Aviation Operations & Airline Security Expert comments: "It is thought that whilst the pilot was trying to avoid a massive thunderstorm, one of three shown on satellite weather maps, each measuring some 50 km across, he was climbing and turning away at the same time. Only an exposed pitot tube air wind speed indicator possibly iced up, resulting in a much lower air speed reading/instruction being processed. The combination of low speed, turning and ascending would cause the Airbus to possibly flip over backwards as part of an aerodynamic stall, then fall and tumble helplessly resulting in a subsequent hard impact on the rough seas below. Clearly we will all need to wait for the official investigation to take its course, to see if this did in fact happen."



  Students undertaking training and examinations for an EASA Part-FCL Licence. Will your commercial pilot qualifications be valid outsi...