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Julian Bray provides: Opinion, comment, forward thinking speculation on Travel, Cruise & Aviation: conflict zones, terrorist impact, drone (UAV) issues, safety (black boxes, emergencies), airline operations, aviation finance, political implications, and all forms of incident risk. Worked at board level with several airline and aviation groups, including Alitalia, British Island Airways, British Airways, Galileo, British Aerospace, Skyways, former CEO City firm Leadenhall Assoc. Founder CNS City News Service. Director NTN Television News (joint co. with ITV Wales TWW) Debretts People 2017 and in premier edition of PRWeek Black Book.

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Tuesday, 27 December 2016

Russia military plane crash black box recovered, terrorism cannot be ruled out say a number of experts.

Sochi airport, crash happened shortly after a refuelling stop and subsequent take off.  

UPDATE: Russian Defence Ministry have NOT ruled out terrorist activity says Reuters: http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-russia-airplane-terror-idUKKBN14I0TB?utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_content=58651f1904d3015519a6c95c&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter

A single black box flight recorder has been recovered, from among the wreckage of a Russian military plane that crashed into the Black Sea, the Russian defence ministry has said.


Over 3,000 people have been involved in the search for victims' bodies and aircraft debris, with only some portions of the jet found.

The TU-154 crashed on Sunday. All other aircraft of this type have been grounding pending the outcome of investigations into the cause of the crash.

Julian Bray Aviation Security expert comments: Russian officials are repeatedly suggesting its either pilot error or a malfunction on board the aircraft. However many experts are of the opinion that it is too early for terrorism to be totally ruled out. They point to the debris field and the fact that human remains are already being recovered just days into the recovery operation. Clearly some form of 'catastrophic event' occurred exploding the aircraft thus creating the debris being recovered.

A day of mourning for the 92 people on board - including members of the army's world-famous choir - has been declared by Russian President Vladimir Putin.


Following the introduction of the Tu-154 in 1972, some 6.7% of the manufactured planes have either crashed or been lost due to serious incidents, according to data from Aviation Safety Network.

The aircraft factory located in Samara, Russia, has assembled 1,026 Tu-154 aircraft.

The latest crash has happened on the 25th of December, 2016 in the Black Sea, close to Sochi. The accident took the lives of all 93 people aboard the Syria-bound Tu-154 belonging to the Russian Ministry of Defence.

In total, type Tu-154 aircraft have been involved in 111 serious accidents. Additionally, 69 planes have crashed or have been grounded.

Five of the incidents were caused by terrorist activity, several aircraft were lost due to winter failed landings, one plane crashed due to being overloaded, another one suffered a mid-air  impact.

Mechanical failures, pilot error and fuel shortage have all been cited as causes of incidents.

2010 saw several fatal accidents involving Tu-154s, including the Polish Air Force Tu-154 crash in Russia, which killed 96 people, including President of Poland Lech Kaczynski.


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