RYANAIR pulls a genie out of a bottle, just in time for Christmas ....

Broadcaster and Journalist Julian Bray, in some fifty plus live broadcasts, on many different networks including  BBC5Live and rightly put through the technical wringer late night on the excellent award winning Steve Nolan Show (for a good half an hour as we sorted out live on air one persons acute problem over the Ryanair veritable 'tsunami' of flight cancellations, and in the process providing a viable way forward). Julian also completed over a dozen television spots - all with his aviation expert hat on.

Julian together with this blog have consistently and robustly maintained the view that the recent problems caused by the Ryanair pilot rostering failure would not have a long term effect on Ryanair results, and that customers would quickly return, as they weigh up the future various deep discounted fares offered by the airline against those offered by competitors. 

At times we have been shouted down by certain City Analysts, and challenged by some newspaper editorials, but our view has remained consistent throughout.

We say those commentators and analysts need to get out more and talk to people, rather than just remain deskbound and Google up their 'research'.  

Simply Ryanair is known as a no frills, low cost airline, BUT that is where it ends, as the available fleet is one of the youngest flying today and impeccably maintained, the company is sitting on a massive financial warchest, cannily bought its fuel forward, has access to its own superior pilot and crew training school - a school highly respected all over the aviation world - and considered the best route into commercial aviation for new pilots and also has extensive interest in the aircraft leasing business. It has also recruited some 900 new pilots...so no  more scare stories over pilot shortage inside Ryanair. Its simply not so, especially as 25 aircraft have been mothballed for a while. Other airlines however might soon be facing problems in this area ...

It is also within the EC, and has been so for many years...  Certainly customer service took a back seat and many people were disadvantaged. The CAA also stepped in to lay down the law and  corrected various compensation and duty of care offers posted by Ryanair. Rather than second guess, the latest interim results, we have run them in full, in order that as a matter of record, we leave nothing out.

The statement by the company needs to be read in full as it is very much like a jigsaw, with interlocking claims and offers. The interim results are however impressive. 

Profits and traffic both up by11%. Q2 Load Factors heading for an astonishing  97% and their Full Year Profit guidance remains unchanged. Not many airline groups can match that.   





Ryanair Cuts H1 Fares By 5%, Profits Rise 11%Traffic Grows 11% As Q2 Load Factors Improve To 97%FY Profit Guidance Unchanged

 
Ryanair, Europe’s No.1 airline, today (Oct. 31) reported an 11% increase in H1 profit to €1.29bn.  Traffic grew 11% to 72m thanks to a strong Easter and a 5% reduction in airfares saving customers over €160m in the half year. Unit costs (including fuel savings) fell 5%, ex-fuel unit costs were flat.



H1 Results (IFRS)Sept 30, 2016Sept 30, 2017% Change
Customers (m)64.872.1+11%
Revenue (m)€4,132€4,425+7%
Profit after Tax (m)€1,168€1,293+11%
Net Margin28%29%+1pt
Basic EPS€0.92€1.07+16%

 
Ryanair’s Michael O’Leary said:

“These strong H1 results reinforce the robust nature of Ryanair’s low fare, pan-European growth model even during a period which suffered a material failure in our pilot rostering function in early September. Prior to this event, we were on track to deliver strong H1 results during which we opened 3 new bases and 80 new routes. We took delivery of 35 new B737’s in the first 6 months of 2017, we stimulated 11% traffic growth with 5% lower airfares, and achieved an industry record load factor of 97% in the peak summer months.

READ MORE:>>>>

JUST ONE MONTH BEFORE A MAJOR LONDON SECURITY EXPO, HEATHROW COMPLEX SECURITY PLANS BLOWN WIDE OPEN AS USB COMPUTER 'TOP SECRET ' DATA STICK IS FOUND IN STREET

UK Security Expo 2017 logo

The 2.5 gigabyte Heathrow security breach will certainly be discussed during UK Security Expo 2017
to be held at London's Olympia
on November 29th and 30th...

An astonishing lapse in UK national security has emerged this morning (October 29th) ironically exactly one month before a major Security Conference opens at Londons Olympia Exhibition and Conference Centre. which is tasked over two days with examining Global and UK security matters.  
 
The Sunday Mirror newspaper is reporting, at length, that an unencrypted USB stick containing detailed London Heathrow Security Plans has been handed into the newspaper by an unemployed, homeless man who found it lying on a street. ....

This latest lapse comes as the current threat level is coded as 'severe' having been reduced from 'critical following the Parsons Green Tube fire bombing.

The unidentified male featured in the Sunday Mirror, then found a public access computer terminal in a local library, and out of curiosity plugged the USB stick into the computer.

Imagine his surprise when the USB stick fired up immediately as no password was required!

According to the Sunday Mirror  it containing 76 UNENCRYPTED folders complete with maps, videos and ­documents.  In all a massive 2.5GB of data.

The newspaper then spells out what was on the USB stick.

They claim the exact route H.M.The  Queen takes when using Heathrow airport is shown, plus the detailed security measures taken to protect her and other members of the Royal family.

Security at Heathrow Airport is further compromised, as the Sunday Mirror says 'easy to access' files effectively disclose every type of identity card or pass needed – even those used by undercover police  - and 'all areas' passes, giving full access to restricted areas.

It is also suggested that a detailed timetable of patrols and systems employed to protect the airport estate, against terrorist suicide bombers and other forms of terror related attacks are disclosed.

Helpfully maps pinpointing the location of CCTV cameras, plus a  'handy guide' to the a network of access tunnels and escape shafts linked to the Heathrow Express, are also on the unencrypted USB Stick.

'Rabbit runs' are detailed, covert routes designed to safeguard Cabinet ministers and foreign dignitaries as they traverse through Heathrow airport.

A 'state-of-the-art' ultrasound radar system which constantly scan runways, taxiways and many miles of airport perimeter fencing is also compromised.

This latest breach is one of many likely to be discussed by security chiefs at the forthcoming London Security Expo 2017 at the end of November.

The USB stick was found by a member of the public and handed to the Sunday Mirror.

Julian Bray broadcaster and aviation security expert is one of the specialist keynote speakers invited to address two conference sessions at a major security conference being held at Olympia, London at the end of November. 

Julian Bray said he would be raising the issue during his own conference session on Aviation & Border Security  "Aviation & Airline Operational Security Incidents - Facing up to Escalating International Threat Levels and the Enemy within…"

29 November 2017  at 16:10 hrs Olympia Theatre 2  
Aviation & Border Security: 


"Presenting a blueprint to cost efficiently vitalise, refresh, and quickly raise standards for national and local security operations and is it time to take a closer look at other industries which routinely perform secondary x-ray, luggage searches, entry scans, physical pat down checks and pass card validation?"
          
Julian Bray
 
 
Julian Bray commented:
"Sadly many complex security high-level operations are routinely carried out by external consultants, on project specific contracts; rather than internal specialists to maintain continuity.

"Consultants (and others) may daily copy off 'data bursts' on to USB sticks so they can be worked on, either at their own off-site offices, at home, or used as an internal update (known as a cascade) for security-cleared colleagues.

"The use of a USB stick is deliberate as it bypasses the use of unsecure public email and computing cloud systems, many of which are based overseas.

"However using a USB stick carries with it a greatly enhanced duty of care, and usually people who employ this method will physically keep the stick with them at all times, usually on a secure neck lanyard, and not part with it.  

"Clearly if it falls into the wrong hands this would be serious in regard to espionage and terror related events, as any alternative system intervention would take some time to activate, even if the breach had been discovered. 

"Aviation security is constantly under review, Security services would not want this USB data leaked, sold to, or passed to any hostile parties or alternative pressure groups, however friendly..”


JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert, ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com , ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121  ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment,   ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

BREAKING NEWS: British Prime Minister Theresa May has declared the UK 'does not recognise' the Catalan parliament's declaration of independence.

 
Julian Bray Aviation Expert comments: Anyone from the UK or the USA booking or intending to book a Spanish holiday or intending to visit Barcelona any time soon, might like to urgently re-think their plans until the political position is clear, as travel insurance may well be rendered invalid,  especially if the region is declared a conflict zone and Madrid imposes direct rule ... read the small print i.e. every word of your policy!

The latest City news is that share prices related to the region are dropping like a stone!
 


UK & USA Cruise Ships and our own holiday firms may well consider giving Spanish ports and cities a miss until the current Catalonia political situation is stabilised. Simply their insurance companies may consider Barcelona is no longer safe. 
 

British Prime Minister Theresa May has now declared the UK 'does not recognise' the Catalan parliament's declaration of independence.

In a statement newly released by Downing Street, the Prime Minister said: 

“The UK does not and will not recognise the Unilateral Declaration of Independence made by the Catalan regional parliament. It is based on a vote that was declared illegal by the Spanish courts.
 
"We continue to want to see the rule of law upheld, the Spanish Constitution respected, and Spanish unity preserved.”
 
JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert, ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com,  ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121  ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment,   ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

Latest IATA Business Confidence Survey



IATA
 
IATA Business Confidence Survey
by Airline CFOs and Heads of Cargo.

Key points:   

  • 80% of airline CFOs and Heads of Cargo indicated an improvement in year-on-year profitability in Q3 2017 compared with the same period in 2016 – the strongest outcome in 10 years. 
  • Furthermore, 87% of respondents believe that the profit outlook will be unchanged or improve over the year ahead, supported by ongoing robust demand; none of this quarter’s survey respondents expect to see a reduction in either their passenger or freight volumes over the next 12 months.
  •  
  • A higher share of respondents have seen their input costs increase this quarter compared with the Q2 survey, driven by gains in the world oil price. This upward trend in oil prices is broadly expected to continue to impact airline costs in the year ahead.
  • Matching the rise in input costs, 65% of respondents indicated that passenger yields have risen in Q3 – the highest proportion in six years, further supporting the view that passenger yields have bottomed. Almost half of respondents indicated an increase in freight yields over the same period.
  • The outlook for industry employment over the next 12 months remains positive, with more than 40% of respondents expecting to increase employment and a further 28% expecting to maintain current levels.
View full report


JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert, ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com,  ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121  ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment, ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

IATA and ACI Launch New Experience in Travel and Technologies (NEXTT)

IATA


Barcelona – The International Air Transport Association (IATA) in collaboration with Airports Council International (ACI) have launched the New Experience in Travel and Technologies (NEXTT) initiative.

In light of the projected doubling of air travel demand by 2036, new on-ground concepts will be needed to optimize emerging technologies, processes and design developments.

NEXTT aims to help deliver this by developing a common vision to enhance the on-ground transport experience, guide industry investment  and assist governments to improve the regulatory framework.

"We will not be able to handle the growth or evolving customer expectations with our current processes, installations and ways of doing business.

"Accommodating growth with ever bigger airports will be increasingly difficult if not impossible. NEXTT will address these challenges. Working with our airport partners we will explore the important changes in technology and processes to enhance the customer experience.

We will ask fundamental questions on what really needs to happen at the airport and what can be done off-site," said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA  Director General.

"NEXTT will seek to provide a seamless journey by exploring increased off-site processing options; reducing or even eliminating queues; more efficiently using space and resources through enhanced deployments of artificial intelligence and robotics; and vastly improving data sharing between stakeholders.

The goal of NEXTT is finding potential ways to integrate systems and improve operations in the most secure, effective and sustainable manner for the benefit of passengers and the industry," commented Angela Gittens, Director General, ACI World.

MH370 new hunt begins....



Kuala Lumpur has negotiated a 'no-find, no fee' agreement with ocean exploration firm Ocean Infinity. They will  resume the search for missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370.

The search in the Indian Ocean was released in a statement from Darren Chester, Australian minister for infrastructure and transport.

"The Malaysian Government is entering into an agreement with Ocean Infinity, to search for Malaysia Airlines flight MH370," he commntd.

"The Malaysian Government has accepted an offer from Ocean Infinity to search for the missing plane, entering into a ‘no find no fee’ arrangement. Malaysia’s decision to proceed with the search shows the commitment to find MH370."

The plan is that Ocean Infinity will look for the lost Boeing 777-200ER in yet unsearched area where it is believed the aircraft could be. Canberra is providing technical assistance.

No start date or duration for the operation  was given.

The 777-200ER was operating a flight from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing on 8 March 2014 when it turned back over the Gulf of Thailand, and made its way to the southern reaches of the Indian Ocean, via the Straits of Malacca. There were 239 passengers and crew aboard.


JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert, ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com, ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121 ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment, ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

DRONE DANGER IN THE UK ON THE INCREASE AS REPORTED NEAR MISSES ON THE RISE



The retail drones big brother.. the lethal military UAV..
 
Julian Bray Aviation Expert writes:-
 
You really would have thought that with all the extra national and international publicity given to the dangers of operating drones [Unmanned Aerial Vehicles -UAVs] almost anywhere within our crowded Island, new owners and people generally would be extra careful, following the 'drone code.'   
 
Alarmingly we hear that High Street retailers throughout the UK have moved on from 'toy' drones, to a weight and size level verging on commercial professional UAVs...... 
 
We also now find that a drone has been spotted buzzing an iconic steam train on the mainline, police are currently investigating.
 
From the latest Air Accident Proximity tables,  a large drone was reported by a commercial aviation pilot to have passed over the right wing of his passenger jet near London Gatwick, he is reported to have said it put 130 lives at risk."
The Gatwick drone is described as "very large, certainly not a toy," with four blades and circa. one-metre in diameter.

 This incident report says it almost hit the Airbus A319 as it was preparing to land on 9 July this year.

According to the first officer, who puts it bluntly:  "Startle factor of the drone's proximity" almost caused him to switch off the autopilot system and take "avoiding action."

The Airprox report is no less scathing  "A larger aircraft might not have missed it, and in the captain's opinion it had put 130 lives at risk."
It was one of eighteen  incidents involving drones and other objects investigated at the most recent July UKAB conference.   

Industry research suggests that drones can smash plane windscreens, and if injected into engine air turbine fans, possibly catastrophic.  

To add to official concerns, a new report for Deutsche Telecom surveying some 2,000 plus British workers claims that 50 percent of millennials - those aged  between 25 and 34  - rated themselves as 'very knowledgeable' about 'cybersecurity' but when pressed revealed they engaged in high-risk activity such as using work devices on insecure home or public Wi-Fi networks and less likely to change their passwords on a regular basis....

Put simply according the report author Scott Cairns: "They may be expert at using devices, but few know what actually happens beneath the hood."  
 

JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert,  ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com,  ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121   ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment,   ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

September 2017 IATA Airlines Financial Monitor

IATA


   September 2017
IATA Airlines Financial Monitor
  
Key points:   
  • The more complete financial data from Q2 show that the year-on-year decline in profit margins was quite small for the industry in aggregate, and actually masked strong increases in the case of European and Latin American carriers.  North American airlines again posted the widest profit margins, albeit slightly narrower than a year ago.
  • Industry-wide passenger yields posted positive, albeit very modest, year-on-year growth in July for just the second time in almost four years. Passenger yields have continued to trend higher at an annualized rate of around 3.5%.
  • Global airline share prices rose by 0.9% in September, driven by a gradual recovery in the North American index following two sharp monthly declines. By contrast, European and Asia Pacific airline shares both fell modestly.
  • Oil prices have trended higher in recent months, reflecting supply constraint on the part of OPEC and Russia, as well as a weaker US dollar. The price of Brent crude rose to a 26-month high of US$58.50/bbl during September.
  • Passenger and freight volumes both grew robustly in year-on-year terms in August, although the seasonally-adjusted (SA) upward trend in the former has moderated. The SA passenger load factor remains at a historically high level, while the SA freight load factor rose to a three-year high in August. 
  •  
  • Stronger global trade conditions are helping to support demand for premium class travel, particularly to/from Asia. Premium’s share of passenger revenues rose to 26.3% in the first seven months of 2017, from 26.0% a year ago.
View full report



JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert, ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com, ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121 ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment, ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

BAE TO CHOP TWO THOUSAND JOBS IN A BID TO MAINTAIN PRODUCTION, DESPITE A FALLING ORDER BOOK.



BAE Systems has confirmed widely leaked proposals for some 2,000 job cuts in the UK in their latest trading update.

The aerospace and defence giant said the cuts would ensure  production continuity at competitive costs. Its widely accepted that Typhoon and Hawk variants have not met expectations, and that many expressions of interest from mainly middle east countries, have not been converted into firm orders.    

The firm says it is taking action to trim Typhoon and Hawk aircraft production rates.

"As a result, the group has today announced a proposal to reduce the workforce of the military air and information business by up to 1,400 roles," the firm said.



JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert, ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com,
 ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121
 ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment,
  ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

CAUTION! FRANCE IS CLOSED as AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS START THEIR LATEST STRIKE




The latest episode of the French air traffic controllers series of strikes started last night (Monday) and is due to end on Wednesday; however hundreds of flights have been cancelled, many aircraft are now out of position and crews have run out of operational hours so disruption is expected to last all week.

Other public sector services are also on strike, effectively France is closed this week!


JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert,   ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com,  ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121  ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment,   ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

More than 7% increase in air travel compared to 2016. 2017 IATA World Air Transport Statistics Released


IATA

More than 7% increase in air travel compared to 2016.
      2017 IATA World Air Transport Statistics Released



      

 The International Air Transport Association (IATA) today announced industry performance statistics for 2016 showing that system-wide, airlines carried 3.8 billion passengers on scheduled services last year, an increase of 7% over 2015, representing an additional 242 million air trips.

The statistical information is included in the 2017 edition of the IATA World Air Transport Statistics (WATS), the yearbook of the airline industry’s performance.
     
Highlights of the 2016 airline industry performance:

Passenger
  • Again, airlines in the Asia-Pacific region carried the largest number of passengers.
  • The regional ranking (based on total passengers carried on scheduled services by airlines registered in that region) is:

    1. Asia-Pacific 35% market share (1.3 billion, an increase of 11.3% compared to  2015)
    2. Europe 26% market share (992.4 million, up 6.1% over 2015)
    3. North America 24% market share (911.5 million, up 3% over 2015)
    4. Latin America 7% market share (275.1 million, up 1.8% from 2015)
    5. Middle East 5% market share (206.1 million, an increase of 9.1% over 2015)
    6. Africa 2% market share (84 million, up 6% over 2015).
  • The top five airlines ranked by total scheduled passengers carried (domestic and international) were:
    1. Southwest Airlines (151.8 million)
    2. American Airlines (144.2 million)
    3. Delta Air Lines (143.3 million)
    4. China Southern Airlines (114.5 million)
    5. Ryanair (112 million)
  • The top five international/regional passenger airport-pairs were almost the same as they were in 2015, and all were within the Asia-Pacific region:
    1. Hong Kong-Taipei (5.2 million, up 2.1% from 2015)
    2. Jakarta-Singapore (3.4 million, up 0.9% from 2015))
    3. Bangkok Suvarnabhumi-Hong Kong (3 million, a decrease of 3.14% from 2015)
    4. Kuala Lumpur–Singapore (2.8 million, up 3.3% from 2015)
    5. Hong Kong-Seoul (2.8 million, down 15% from 2015)
  •  The top five domestic passenger airport-pairs were also all in the Asia-Pacific region:
    1. Jeju-Seoul Gimpo (11.6 million, up 4.6% over 2015)
    2. Sapporo-Tokyo Haneda (7.7 million, down 1.2% from 2015)
    3. Fukuoka-Tokyo Haneda (7.3 million, a decrease of 4% from 2015)
    4. Melbourne-Tullamarine-Sydney (7.3 million, down 4.6% from 2015)
    5. Hanoi-Ho Chi Minh City (6.4 million,  up 16.2% from 2015)
Passenger Traffic by Nationality
A new feature this year in
WATS+ edition is the ranking of passenger numbers in terms of nationality (citizenship). Highlights include:
  • US Citizens are the world’s most prevalent travellers. Some 810 million passengers travelled on US passports in 2016 comprising 21% of all passengers worldwide. 
  • Internationally, American citizens also took top place, comprising 9.5% of all travellers. This was followed by citizens of the UK (7.8%), Germany (6.5%), China (6.4%) and France (4.1%).
  • Domestically, US citizens were also the most prevalent travellers at 29.9%, followed by China (19.0%), India (5.2%), Indonesia (4.4%) and Japan (3.5%).
New Model Airlines 
     
New Model Airlines¹ (NMAs), a classification that includes Low Cost Carriers (LCCs), accounted for 28.3% of all passengers in 2016, up from 27.1% of passengers in 2015.

Network carriers account for 69.5% of total passengers while leisure carriers² contributed 2.2% to passenger volumes.
      
Measured in revenue passenger kilometres (RPK), NMAs accounted for 20% of global traffic, reflecting the concentration of this sector on short-haul flying. By the same RPK measure, network carriers accounted for 77% of traffic with leisure carriers comprising 3% of traffic.

Cargo

The top five airlines ranked by total freight tonnes carried on scheduled services were:
    1. FedEx Express (7.1 million)
    2. United Parcel Service (4.7 million)
    3. Emirates Airline (2.5 million)
    4. Qatar Airways (1.8 million)
    5. Cathay Pacific Airways (1.6 million)
Airline Alliances
  • Star Alliance maintained its position as the largest airline alliance in 2016 with 38% of total scheduled traffic (in RPK), followed by SkyTeam (33%) and oneworld (29%).
            

     
*RPKs are Passenger-Kilometres flown, i.e., the number of revenue passengers carried on each flight stage multiplied by the flight stage distance.
  • IATA (International Air Transport Association) represents some 275 airlines comprising 83% of global air traffic.




NOTE: IATA defines a New Model Airline as one whose business model is based on lower fares.  See also ICAO’s definition of Low Cost Carriers (LCC) in Section 5.1-2 of the Manual on the Regulation of International Air Transport (Document 9626)

²  The distinction between traditional/legacy, low–costs, and leisure carriers is compiled by IATA following an auto–classification of the airline as based on its marketing strategy.



JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert, ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com, ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121 ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment, ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

RAF SCRAMBLE SUPERSONIC TYPHOON JETS TO ESCORT DIVERTED RYANAIR LITHUANIAN FLIGHT INTO STANSTED

Library picture : an earlier emergency at Warsaw airport..

A Ryanair flight from Lithuania to Luton was earlier today diverted to the 'secure emergency' Stansted Airport over a 'suspected hoax' threat received in Lithuania.

Ryanair issued a statement confirming one of its fully loaded passenger jets was diverted from landing at London Luton Airport to the high security London Stansted Essex airport, after a "suspected hoax security alert".

The flight - from Lithuania (Kaunas) - landed safely at Stansted and met by armed police, after being escorted by two rapid response RAF Typhoon jets from RAF Conningsby, Lincolnshire, a Main Operating Base, and home to two 'permanently combat-ready' RAF Squadrons.

The RAF were given special permission to fly at supersonic speed over England. The MOD will probably now face claims for broken glass in greenhouses!

Passengers were transferred to coaches at Stansted for the onward journey to Luton.

The Ryanair aircraft will remain on the ground for a detailed security search and engineering check before being cleared for a return to operational use, and possibly used by the CAA as one of the Monarch repatriation chartered-in fleet.

" This flight from Kaunas to London Luton (4 October) diverted to London Stansted in line with procedures after Lithuanian authorities received a suspected hoax security alert. The aircraft landed normally at Stansted and customers will be transferred to Luton by coach when cleared to do so.”
Ryanair statement




JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert, ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com, ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121 ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment, ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

MONARCH BUST! Wednesday UPDATE: HUGE shadow CAA airline repatriates Monarch Airlines passengers. Airline now in Administration.

THIS STORY IS BEING UPDATED
 throughout the day.
Return often.
 
 Update 07:00 hrs Wednesday
 
+++ Monarch administrators KPMG are already making arrangements to send back Monarchs leased aircraft fleet to their lease company owners.
 
+++ CITYAM is reporting: The boss of collapsed airline Monarch Andrew Swaffield has already opened up a new aviation consultancy business...
 
+++ According to Companies House, Andrew Swaffield's new firm Alcedo Consulting Services (named after his Polo team -and a Kingfisher bird species...) was established yesterday, with Swaffield listed as one of the directors.The second director, is his live-in partner William Low,51.

+++
Monarch Airlines ceased trading on Monday, with  chief executive Swaffield telling the BBC's Today programme earlier that it was a "heartbreaking day", but the airline was facing an annual loss of over £100m.

+++ Although heartbroken, Mr Swaffield still found time, sitting in his old office, to set up his future business! 

 
 
Update 10:10 hrs Tuesday
+++ Could this be the cause of Monarch Airlines collapse? New data shows their market share stagnated over the years...
 
 
Update 07:50 hrs Tuesday
 
+++ 56,000 passengers will be repatriated this week and of those, 11k back in UK by Monday.
 
+++ 34 chartered jets from 16 airlines including Qatar and EasyJet being used.
 
+++ CAA says costs in region of £60million.
 
+++ 1,900 job losses confirmed.
 
+++ More than half of passengers for repatriation are in Spain and the Balearics.
 
+++ Monarch pensioners 'not affected by collapse'.
 
+++ Revised (new) information on:
 
 
Update 14:30 hrs Monday
+++ CAA confirm ATOL protected passengers will be returned to the UK in accordance with their return flight details.
 
+++ Some ATOL bonded repatriation flights/seat bookings may, for example, be operated as much as six months into the future +++
 
 
 
CLICK ON PICTURE to enlarge
 
CAA RESCUE HELPLINE FOR MONARCH PASSENGERS is on 0300 303 2800 and a CAA / Monarch website is at www.monarch.caa.co.uk  
 
Customers in the UK: 0300 303 2800
Customers overseas: +44 1753 330330
 
DO NOT HEAD FOR A UK AIRPORT AS ALL MONARCH FLIGHTS ARE CANCELLED AND THE AIR OPERATING LICENCE CANCELLED
 
 


Monarch Airlines, the UK's fifth largest airline has collapsed and has been put into administration, and has immediately ceased trading. 
 
All Monarch flights have been cancelled and those passengers holding tickets are strongly advised NOT to travel to the airport.  

Julian Bray will be live on BBC5Live, BBC Scotland, BBC World Service, BBC News and individual BBC Local radio stations at various times from 9 am this morning.

Meanwhile on the first day of the Conservative Party Conference, the Department of Transport has unusually asked the Civil Aviation Authority [CAA] to extend (for two weeks) to none ATOL clients, rescue plan to return some 110,000 passengers (currently abroad) at some 40 world destinations to the UK, at the end of their booked holiday period.

Monarch passengers (ie individual flyers and those not protected by the ATOL/CAA bonding scheme) are now also to be short-term covered by a CAA/ATOL rescue package, and those not within the ATOL bonding scheme will for the next 2 weeks only have their repatriation flight funded by the UK Department of Transport.  ·

The Civil Aviation Authority will arrange for the repatriation of ATOL protected customers who are currently overseas back to the UK.
 
The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) also been asked by the Department for Transport to repatriate UK customers who are currently overseas but are not protected by ATOL and who are due to return to the UK within the next two weeks (October 15th is the cut-off point).

So far over 30 charter aircraft have been secured by the CAA, who have also launched a helpline on
0300 303 2800
and a CAA / Monarch website at
www.monarch.caa.co.uk

Julian Bray Broadcaster Aviation Expert says. This is one of the largest UK airlines to 'suddenly' collapse. A KPMG administrator Blair Nimmo speaking on BBC News said: "There is no prospect of the airline being sold as a 'going concern' as it has been offered for sale for some months now."

The collapse comes immediately after Monarch managed to extend its ATOL 'holiday' flight licence, and the airline announced it would in future concentrate on its long haul business, selling off its short haul interests.

In the early hours of Monday morning KPMG administrators were called in by the board.   Some 300,000 future Monarch clients will now have to talk to their travel agents, travel insurance firms in order to establish if they will be refunded any, all or part of their costs.
 
Monarchs operational base at Luton will see a flurry of activity as officials will seize and secure Monarch aircraft as they land, physically attaching a writ to the aircraft and placing an airport tug on its nosewheel, so the aircraft cannot be moved.

As soon as all Monarch flights landed safely overnight, the airline effectively lost its Operating Licence and insurance cover. It was only then the Administrators, could be appointed and start the formal process. 

All Monarch clients are advised to contact the CAA website and helpline. Some 2,100 Monarch employees have effectively now lost their jobs, and they will be told this by the administrators at a mass meeting starting at 9am in Luton. Staff were emailed at 3am this morning, by the new administrators.
 
Monarch carried just 6.3 million passengers last year from Gatwick, Luton, Birmingham, Leeds-Bradford and Manchester airports.
 
The firm posted a loss of £291m in the financial year ending in October.

NOTE: All customers who have paid (all or part of the total invoice, but a credit card debit amount of over £100**) using a credit card or VISA Debit Card can ADDITIONALLY apply to the credit card company directly for a possible refund under the UK Consumer Credit Act Section 75, or a 'voluntary' chargeback arrangement for debit card holders.

** say your invoice is for £3,000, and you pay say £150 using your credit card, as its over a £100 payment you can then claim the FULL £3,000 directly from the credit card company citing Consumer Credit Act: Sect 75, even though in our example, the balance £2,850 of the invoice was paid in cash! You will also have a possible claim against the travel agent  who accepted the original booking.

KMPG STATEMENT
 
Administrators appointed to Monarch Airlines Limited and Monarch Travel Group Limited

All flights from the UK, operated by Monarch Airlines, have been cancelled and will not be rescheduled
All Monarch flights to the UK today and for the next two weeks will be replaced with alternative flights, organised by the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) with assistance from the administrators
 
A dedicated website and two helplines have been set up for customers in the UK and customers overseas:
 
monarch.caa.co.uk
Customers in the UK:    0300 303 2800
Customers overseas:     +44 1753 330330

Monday 2 October 2017

Blair Nimmo, Jim Tucker and Mike Pink from KPMG have this morning, Monday 2 October 2017, been appointed joint administrators to Monarch Airlines Limited. At the same time, Blair Nimmo, Jim Tucker and Steve Absolom from KPMG have been appointed joint administrators to Monarch Travel Group Limited.
 
The Group's engineering operation, Monarch Aircraft Engineering Limited, is not in administration and continues to trade normally.

As a result of the insolvency proceedings, Monarch Airlines is no longer able to fly as its Air Operating Certificate has been suspended.

Consequently, all flights operated by Monarch Airlines from the UK, and all future holidays booked with Monarch Travel Group, are cancelled with immediate effect.
 
Monarch will not be able to reschedule these flights or holidays. Passengers due to fly with Monarch from the UK are advised not to travel to their airport, unless they have booked alternative arrangements.

The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA), with assistance from the administrators and employees of the company, and at the request of the Government, will be coordinating the repatriation of Monarch customers who are currently overseas and who are scheduled to fly to the UK over the next two weeks at no cost to them.

These customers are advised to NOT TRAVEL TO THE AIRPORT until they have seen confirmation of their new flight on monarch.caa.co.uk
 
The CAA's headline intention, today and in the next two weeks, is to seek to repatriate passengers to the UK as close to their scheduled return date as possible.
 
The monarch.caa.co.uk website also contains details of how customers can apply for refunds.

Blair Nimmo, Partner at KPMG and Joint Administrator to the companies, said: "Mounting cost pressures and increasingly competitive market conditions in the European short-haul market have contributed to the Monarch Group experiencing a sustained period of trading losses. This has resulted in Management appointing us as administrators in the early hours of this morning.
 
"While this timing is unusual in insolvency situations, it was necessary for the appointment to be made once all Monarch aircraft were on the ground. This only occurs in the early hours of each morning.

Once the company entered insolvency, the Air Operating Certificate it needs to be able to fly was effectively suspended, which is why all outbound flights were cancelled with immediate effect.

"Our primary focus for the next 48 hours is to work with the Civil Aviation Authority to provide the infrastructure and information needed to help the Government and CAA with the safe repatriation of approximately all the 110,000 customers who are currently overseas and due to travel back to the UK within the next two weeks.

This includes all those whose trip is not specifically covered by ATOL protection. The CAA has provided funding to enable the Group to retain a number of employees to assist us with the provision of this information.

"We understand that this will be a difficult and distressing time for many, and we anticipate a large volume of calls and queries from customers who are affected. We therefore kindly request that passengers who are not scheduled to travel within the next 48 hours to refer to the CAA website (monarch.caa.co.uk ) in the first instance for further information. This will allow us to assist the CAA and prioritise to ensure the safe repatriation of all customers located overseas who were scheduled for immediate travel back to the UK.

"We will also be speaking to all of the Group's employees today, and commencing the process of returning the Group's leased aircraft fleet to its owners."

Together, the Group offered airline capacity of over six million sector seats and tour operator passenger volumes of over 200,000 per year. The Group is headquartered in Luton.  The Airline and Tour Group employ approximately 2,100 people between them.

Important information for customers:

· Two dedicated helplines have been set up for customers in the UK and customers overseas:
 
Customers in the UK:            0300 303 2800
Customers overseas:             +44 1753 330330
 
· It is likely that customers who booked a package holiday via Monarch Travel Group are ATOL protected. Customers who have booked package holidays including flights with Monarch Airlines via other tour operators will likely also be ATOL protected.
 
· Customers who have booked a flight only with Monarch Airlines are not ATOL protected, unless they bought their travel before 15 December 2016.
 
· The Civil Aviation Authority will arrange for the repatriation of ATOL protected customers who are currently overseas back to the UK.
 
The Civil Aviation Authority has also been asked by the Department for Transport to repatriate UK customers who are currently overseas but are not protected by ATOL and who are due to return to the UK within the next two weeks.
 
· Non-ATOL protected customers may be able to claim for additional costs, such as the cost of additional accommodation, from their credit card provider.
 
· Customers who are yet to travel may be able to claim a refund from their credit or debit card provider, or if they are ATOL protected, from the CAA or their travel company if they booked through another travel provider.
 
· Further customer information can also be found on the CAA's website:  monarch.caa.co.uk
 
· Information can also be found at www.kpmg.co.uk/monarch <http://www.kpmg.co.uk/monarch>
 

About Monarch:
Monarch comprises a scheduled airline, in-house tour operator and an engineering division. The airline, founded in 1968, flew to over 40 destinations from five UK bases: London Gatwick, Birmingham, Manchester, Leeds-Bradford and Luton, where it is headquartered.  The airline offered six million sector seats to leisure destinations, while the tour operating division offered package holidays across the airline's scheduled network.
 
The following companies from within the Monarch Group are in administration:
Monarch Holdings Limited 
Monarch Airlines Limited
Monarch Travel Group Limited
First Aviation Limited
Avro Aviation Limited
Avro Limited
MH Aviation Transport Limited (formerly Cosmos Aviation Limited)
Monarch Holidays Limited (formerly Cosmos Holidays Limited)
somewhere2stay Limited
Monarch 2011 Limited
 
Monarch Aircraft Engineering Limited and Monarch Aircraft Engineering LLC (Monarch Ukraine) are not in administration and continue to trade as normal.

Employees:
The Airline and Tour Group employ approximately 2,100 people between them.
Monarch Airlines Limited, employs 1,948 staff across the following locations:
Location MAL
Birmingham 389
Bromley, Kent 8
Gatwick 420
Leeds Bradford 60
Luton 645
Manchester 425
Stockport, Greater Manchester 1
 
Monarch Travel Group limited employ 153 staff across the following locations:

Location Monarch Travel
Bromley, Kent 72
Manchester 2
Stockport, Greater Manchester 39
Overseas (Faro & Malaga) 40
 

JULIAN BRAY +44(0)1733 345581, Journalist & Broadcaster, Aviation Security & Airline Operations Analyst/expert  ... Travel & Holiday Guru www.aviationcomment.com, ... http://www.freelancedirectory.org/user.php?user=8121 ... www.freelancedirectory.org?name=Julian.Bray.aviation.comment, ... Aviation / Travel / Maritime & Cruise Industries, NUJ, EQUITY, LIVE ISDN LINK, Broadcast ISDN COOBE ++44 (0)1733 345020 ... SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe Old faithful NOKIA: 07944 217476

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