IATA 74th AGM and World Air Transport Summit heading for 'quest' led turbulence...as UK hotel sector flat.

            
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announces that leaders of the global air transport industry are currently gathering in Sydney, Australia, for the IATA 74th AGM and World Air Transport Summit.

Hosted by Qantas, the event includes addresses by Sir Peter Cosgrove, Governor-General of Australia; Michael McCormack, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Transport; and Dr Fang Liu, Secretary General, International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO).

"Sydney will be the capital of air transportation as aviation leaders gather for the 74th IATA AGM and World Air Transport Summit (WATS). The airline industry is in its ninth consecutive year of profitability. And solid progress is being made on the top priorities of safety, security and sustainability. The big issue of the day is infrastructure. A global infrastructure crisis is being complicated by governments considering an acceleration of private sector involvement in airports," said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s Director General and CEO.

Julian Bray Aviation expert comments: What is claimed to be a highlight of the World Air Transport Summit is a CEO Insight panel featuring Sir Tim Clark (Emirates), Peter Elbers (KLM), Rupert Hogg (Cathay Pacific) Christopher Luxon (Air New Zealand) and Calin Rovinescu (Air Canada). No problem wit that and the line up is impressive, but will the panel be able to get a word in edgeways as the moderator billed is none other than CNNs Richard Quest?  Quest is fabled for allegedly being able to talk in rapid-fire whole paragraphs before pausing for breath. Hopefully oxygen masks will be placed above the panel, ready to drop down should circumstances dictate!  

Hot topics include sustainable aviation fuels, airport privatization, benefits and risks of tourism, gender equality, making the best use of data, next steps on aviation security, and preventing human trafficking. Mr Quest has his hands full with that and no doubt it will quickly become apparent which airlines have not purchased forward fuel options as simply they could be out of business within 18 months, such is the continuing rise of world fuel rates - all accounted for in US dollars, but that is a whole new story!

Meanwhile back in the UK, not such good news from the hotel sector as its being reported  that Hotels in the UK saw a 0.9 per cent year-on-year drop in room occupancy to 77.8 per cent in April, as room rates increased 0.8 per cent to £112.56.

Profit per room at hotels in the UK fell by 0.9 per cent to £47.98, representing a sixth consecutive month of year-on-year profit decline, according to the latest HotStats report.

Pablo Alonso, CEO of HotStats, said: “Demand levels have softened since the beginning of 2018, which may be attributed to the poor weather, the slowing in the UK economy and, this month, the timing of Easter.

“But it’s also clear that the increase in minimum wage and employer pension contributions have caused an increase in payroll levels. So, despite a rise in TrevPAR, payroll as a percentage of total revenue has grown and taken a bite out of profits.”
 
Hotels in Aberdeen recorded increased in both room occupancy (6.3 per cent) to 69.0 per cent, and average room rate (1.5 per cent) to £60.85, helped by a 36.8 per cent increase in conference revenue.

 




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PET PASSPORTS AND AIR TRANSIT FEES HEADING SKYWARDS IF NEW FAA US PROPOSALS ADOPTED FOR AIR CARGO

FAA logo


AFS Draft Advisory Circulars (AC) Open for Comment for U.S. Federal Aviation Administration. AC 120-85B, Air Cargo Operations has been added, and is now available at http://www.faa.gov/aircraft/draft_docs/afs_ac.

------------

Julian Bray Aviation Expert comments: The FAA has released its latest draft advisory `circular for comment. Its contents for UK based aviation operations in respect of the handling of livestock and carriage of passenger pets is interesting and in some cases may involve physical changes to aircraft hold  and cargo operations. Some may say not before time, but the outcome will be higher costs all round or possibly a shift to all cargo transits for livestock and pets, to accommodate longer loading times required to complete the proposed new systems. Clearly scheduled commercial aviation passenger slots are strictly timed and turnarounds are always under pressure.   

Clearly the FAA is being stung into action by recent events and is set following consultation, to radically change the way animals are handled, also pets with passports may face significantly higher charges and insurance costs, as a direct knock on effect of the proposals



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IATA reports passenger demand growth slowed down in April


IATA reports passenger demand growth slowed down in April
                                
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced global passenger traffic data for April 2018 showing that demand (revenue passenger kilometers or RPKs) rose by 6.2% compared to April 2017, which was down from a 12-month high of 9.7% in March. Comparisons with the year ago period are impacted by developments a year ago – including the comparatively late timing of Easter in 2017, which boosted April traffic.

April capacity (available seat kilometers or ASKs) increased by 5.9%, and load factor climbed 0.2 percentage point to 82.3%, which was a record for the month of April, surpassing last year’s record of 82.1%.

"Demand for air transport continues to be above the long-term trend. However, increases in airline cost inputs, most notably fuel prices, means that we are unlikely to see increased stimulation from lower fares in 2018, compared to previous years," said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA  Director General and CEO.  
      
April 2018
(% year-on-year)
World share¹
RPK
ASK
PLF
(%-pt)²         
PLF
(level)³ 
        
Total Market
100.0%
6.2%
5.9%
0.2%      
82.3%
Africa
2.2%
0.9%
0.9%
0.0%
73.1%
Asia Pacific
33.7%      
10.9%
9.2%
1.3%
82.8%
Europe
26.5%
3.7%
4.1%
-0.3%
84.1%
Latin America
5.2%
5.5%
5.8%      
-0.3%
81.1%
Middle East
9.5%
3.9%
2.8%      
0.8%
77.1%
North America
23.0%      
3.7%      
4.8%
-0.9%
83.3%
   ¹% of industry RPKs in 2017   ²Year-on-year change in load factor   ³Load factor level   

International Passenger Markets
       
April international passenger demand rose 4.8% compared to April 2017. All regions recorded year-over-year traffic increases but all were behind the pace of growth reported in March. Total capacity climbed 4.9%, and load factor slipped 0.1 percentage point to 81.4%.
  • Asia Pacific carriers posted an 8.5% traffic rise in April, strongest among the regions. It was the first time since December 2017 that Asia-Pacific airlines led in growth. Passenger traffic has continued to trend upwards at an annualized rate in the region of 10%, supported by robust regional economic expansion and ongoing growth in the number of flight options, which translates into time savings for passengers. Capacity rose 7.6% and load factor improved 0.6 percentage point to 81.0%.
  • Middle East carriers saw demand rise 4.1% in April. Capacity climbed 3.2% and load factor rose 0.7 percentage point to 77.2%. The seasonally-adjusted upward trend in traffic has strengthened since the start of the year, aided by healthy growth on the key routes to/from Asia and Europe, as well as continuing signs of recovery on the market segment to/from North America. Annual comparisons are likely to become more favorable in coming months, owing to the disruptions caused by the proposed travel bans to the US and the since-lifted ban on large portable electronic devices in the year-ago period.
  • European airlines’ April traffic increased 3.4% compared to the year-ago period. While this was down compared to the 9.8% year-over-year growth recorded in March, demand picked up in April in seasonally-adjusted terms. Capacity rose 4.0%. While load factor dipped 0.5 percentage point to 84.6%, it still was highest among the regions. 
  • North American airlines posted a 0.9% demand increase compared to April a year ago, which was sharply down compared to the 9.5% growth experienced in March. Comparisons to the year-ago period are distorted by the huge pick-up in traffic in April 2017. A bounce back is expected in May, supported by the relatively strong economic backdrop in the US. Capacity climbed 2.4%, and load factor fell 1.2 percentage points to 80.7%.
  • Latin American airlines experienced a 6.4% rise in April demand compared to the same month last year. Capacity rose 7.5% and load factor slipped 0.8 percentage point to 81.4%. While the year-over-year traffic increase in April was roughly half that of March, the bigger picture remains bright, with seasonally-adjusted traffic volumes having grown at double-digit annualized rates over the past six months.
  • African airlines’ had a 5.1% traffic increase in April. Capacity rose 4.6%, and load factor edged up 0.4 percentage point to 72.8%. The upward demand trend remains strong, helped by continuing signs of improvement in the region’s largest economies: Nigeria and South Africa. This is only the fourth time in the past 41 months that both economies have been on an upward trajectory at the same time
Domestic Passenger Markets
Demand for domestic travel climbed 8.5% in April compared to April 2017, propelled by double-digit annual growth in India and China, Capacity increased 7.6%, and load factor rose 0.7 percentage point to 84.0%. All markets reported demand increases.   
        
April 2018
(% year-on-year)       
World share¹
RPK
ASK
PLF     
(%-pt)²     
PLF
(level)³  
Domestic
36.2%     
8.5%
7.6%    
0.7%      
84.0% 
Australia
0.9%
3.4%
2.0%
1.1%
80.2%
Brazil 
1.2%
6.7%
5.9%
0.5%
80.7%
China P.R             
9.1%
15.5%
13.7%       
1.3%
86.1%             
India             
1.4%
26.4%
18.4%
5.8%
90.9%
Japan             
1.1%
5.3%
1.7%             
2.3%
67.5%
Russian Fed.             
1.4%
6.7%         
4.7% 
1.5%           
80.7%
US
14.5%
5.3%      
6.3%
-0.8%
84.8%
¹% of industry RPKs in 2017   ²Year-on-year change in load factor   ³Load factor level 

*Note: the seven domestic passenger markets for which broken-down data are available  account for 30% of global total RPKs and approximately 82% of total domestic RPKs                                           
  • Australia’s domestic traffic increased 3.4% year-on-year in April – a slowdown from March,
  • but still well above the five-year average pace of 1.6%.
  • India’s airlines recorded double-digit annual growth (26.4%) for the 44th consecutive month, with passenger demand continuing to be supported by a combination of strong economic and network expansion.

View IATA April passenger traffic analysis

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Mystery of missing MH370 must now finally be presumed lost. Or is it?




The latest developments in the continuing search for the missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 discussed at length on this blog and by Aviation expert Julian Bray on the worlds media, clearly have now been sidelined by the investigation into the allegedly 'Russian missiled' and subsequently downed commercial scheduled MH17 flight reports Julian Bray.
 
But as Malaysia Airlines MH370vanshing off radar screens kickstarted a steady flow of grim incidents, it was always going to remain high on the world news agenda  The Malaysian government announced the latest search by a private U.S. company would end on May 29, 2018, without any extension being offered.
 
It could be that another entity may come up with a new investigation scheme but the best we can hope for today is that sufficient data has already been collected over the last four years to assist in a future search.
 
 A regular scheduled flight with 239 people on board the Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370. On March 8, 2014, a Boeing 777 jetliner, carrying 227 passengers and 12 crew disappeared from radar from Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, to Beijing, China, less than an hour after departure. Malaysian authorities believe the last words heard from either the pilot or co-pilot of the aircraft was "Good night Malaysian three seven zero".
 
Initially, the designated search region was the South China Sea. But Inmarsat satellite data analysis of a series of seven "pings" from the aircraft, suggested the plane continued flying for around seven hours or until the fuel ran out.
 
On March 24, 2014, it was suggested the MH 370 Boeing 777 most likely crashed in the southern Indian Ocean. so began the first intensive underwater minute examination of a 120,000 square km area off Perth, Western Australia.
 
It was not until July 29, 2015, some 16 months after flight MH370 disappeared, a wing section 'flaperon' washed up on the French island of Reunion in the western Indian Ocean. This was after a delay and endless speculation confirmed as originating from the MH370. This released news of debris finds,  more aircraft debris turned up Mauritius, Tanzania, Rodrigues, Madagascar, Mozambique and South Africa. 
 
There was not lack of expert involvement, as the results of several independent oceanographic drift modelling studies, concluded the crash site could rest within an area of 9,623 square miles (25,000 square km) immediately to the north.
 
However as the previous search of the seabed failed to find any wreckage or hard evidence of the crash site, in January 2017, the underwater search for the missing plane in the southern Indian Ocean, was suspended.
 
Three years and allegedly $160 million spent on the search across the 46,332 square mile area, in March 2017, the Australian, Malaysian and Chinese governments called the mission off, despite investigators urging for the target area to be extended north.
 
The subsequent decision to engage the  U.S. company – Ocean Infinity – for a private search and on a contingency  basis - with fees only paid on results - followed next.

In January 2018, the Malaysian government entered an agreement with the Houston, Texas-based company.

According to the 90-day agreement, the hunt for the missing Boeing 777 in the southern Indian Ocean with Infinity’s search vessel, the Seabed Constructor, was expected to end in June 2018. But the company had finished the inspection of its target area in April, requesting for an extension until May 29.
 
In its weekly report on May 15, 2018, the company said that the Seabed Constructor has covered 33,205 square miles (86,000 square km) so far, but has not identified any significant findings.
 
Talking to reporters on May 23, 2018, Malaysia’s Transport Minister Anthony Loke Siew Fook announced that the search for flight MH370 by Ocean Infinity will in effect end on May 29, confirming that this would also be the final extension of the contract, according to Reuters
 
As part of efforts to cut spending, Malaysia’s newly elected Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad had earlier suggested that the government would review its agreement with Ocean Infinity.
 
The Transport Minister reportedly also confirmed that the government would publish a full report on the investigation into MH370’s disappearance after the offshore search was completed, but had not yet determined a date for the report’s release.
 
Sources CNS, Aerotime Hub, Reuters, BBC, Julian Bray,

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Uninvited Royal Wedding Guests Not Welcome - Official Alert for restricted airspace (temporary)


Categories: Air displays and events, Air traffic control, Airspace alerts, Balloons, Commercial pilot helicopter, Drones, Flight training private, Gliders, Microlights, Private pilot aeroplane, Private pilot helicopter

Alert for restricted airspace (temporary)

Restriction of Flying Regulations for Royal Wedding at Windsor Castle on 19 and 20 May 2018.
Details by NOTAM and in AIC M021/2018 at http://www.nats-uk.ead-it.com. Restrictions also apply to the operation of all drones.
SW2018/70





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IATA REPORT : Passenger Demand Accelerates in March, Load Factor Sets Another Record

IATA
Passenger Demand Accelerates in March, Load Factor Sets Another Record
    
Geneva - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced global passenger traffic results for March 2018 showing that demand (measured in revenue passenger kilometers, or RPKs) rose 9.5%, compared to the same month a year ago, the fastest pace in 12 months. Capacity (available seat kilometers, or ASKs) grew 6.4% and load factor climbed 2.3 percentage points to 82.4%, which set a record for the month, following on the record set in February. All regions except for the Middle East posted record load factors.
"Demand for air travel remains strong, supported by the comparatively healthy economic backdrop and business confidence levels. But rising cost inputs—particularly fuel prices—suggest that any demand boosts from lower fares will moderate going into the second quarter," said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s Director General and CEO.     
March 2018
(% year-on-year)
World share¹
RPK
ASK
PLF
(%-pt)²         
PLF
(level)³ 
        
Total Market
100.0%
9.5%
6.4%
2.3%      
82.4%
Africa
2.2%
6.1%
2.7%
2.3%
71.6%
Asia Pacific
33.7%      
12.0%
9.1%
2.1%
82.3%
Europe
26.5%
9.5%
6.1%
2.6%
83.9%
Latin America
5.2%
8.5%
6.8%      
1.3%
81.3%
Middle East
9.5%
10.6%
4.2%      
4.4%
76.6%
North America
23.0%      
6.3%      
4.1%
1.7%
85.3%
   ¹% of industry RPKs in 2017   ²Year-on-year change in load factor   ³Load factor level   
International Passenger Markets
March international passenger demand rose 10.6% compared to March 2017, which was up from 7.4% year-over-year growth recorded in February. All regions showed strong increases. Total capacity climbed 6.6%, and load factor improved 2.9 percentage points to 81.5%.
  • Asia-Pacific airlines’ traffic soared 11.6% in March, compared to the year-ago period. Passenger traffic is continuing to trend upwards, supported by strong regional economic growth and ongoing expansion in the number of airport-pair options for travelers. Capacity increased 8.2%, and load factor rose 2.5 percentage points to 80.9%.
  • European carriers saw March traffic climb 9.8% over March 2017, up from 6.9% annual growth in February. Business confidence in the most-open countries in the region has been hit by trade tensions in recent months, but economic conditions remain broadly supportive. As with Asia-Pacific region, demand is also being stimulated by increases in the number of nonstop airport-pairs. March capacity rose 6.4% and load factor was up 2.6 percentage points to 84.6%, highest among regions.
  • Middle East carriers’ traffic jumped 10.7% in March, much improved from the 4.1% year-over-year increase recorded in February. This reflects healthy growth in the market between the Middle East and Asia. Demand also shows signs of stabilization on Middle East to North America routes, following the disruption caused in the first half of 2017 by the now-lifted ban on large portable electronic devices, as well as a wider impact stemming from the proposed travel restrictions to the US. Capacity increased 4.3%, and load factor jumped 4.4 percentage points to 76.7%.
  • North American airlines posted a 9.5% traffic rise in March compared to the year-ago period, well above the 5-year average growth rate of 3.6%. Capacity climbed 4.9% and load factor was up 3.5 percentage points to 83.5%, which was the second highest among the regions. The weakening US dollar is having a positive effect on inbound traffic, while the comparatively robust domestic economic backdrop is supporting outbound demand.
  • Latin American airlines had an 11.8% increase in March traffic, which was the largest increase among the regions for a third month in a row. March capacity climbed 10.0% compared to a year ago, and load factor edged up 1.3 percentage points to 81.8%. Traffic continues to recover from the disruptions caused by the harsh hurricane season in the third quarter of 2017, driven in part by economic recovery in Brazil.
  • African airlines continued to enjoy very strong demand as well, with traffic up 11.2% compared to March 2017, which was more than twice the 5-year average pace of 4.8%. Airlines here are seeing healthy growth on routes to/from Europe and Asia, while the region’s two largest economies—Nigeria and South Africa—continue to improve. Capacity climbed 6.7%, and load factor strengthened 2.9 percentage points to 71.0%.
Domestic Passenger Markets       
Domestic demand rose 7.8% in March, which was a slight deceleration from 8.2% growth recorded in February, driven primarily by developments in the US market. Domestic capacity climbed 6.2%, and load factor lifted 1.3 percentage points to 84.0%.    
March 2018
(% year-on-year)       
World share¹
RPK
ASK
PLF     
(%-pt)²     
PLF
(level)³  
Domestic
36.2%     
7.8%
6.2%    
1.3%      
84.0% 
Australia
0.9%
3.6%
0.0%
2.7%
78.9%
Brazil 
1.2%
2.3%
0.8%
1.2%
80.2%
China P.R             
9.1%
15.0%
13.8%       
0.9%
85.2%             
India             
1.4%
27.9%
18.1%
6.7%
87.8%
Japan             
1.1%
0.9%
1.2%             
-0.2%
74.7%
Russian Fed.             
1.4%
5.9%         
3.1% 
2.1%           
78.1%
US
14.5%
4.7%      
3.7%
0.8%
86.5%
¹% of industry RPKs in 2017   ²Year-on-year change in load factor   ³Load factor level  *Note: the seven domestic passenger markets for which broken-down data are available account for 30% of global total RPKs and approximately 82% of total domestic RPKs                               
  • US domestic growth slowed to 4.7% in March, compared to 6.1% year-over-year growth recorded in February. This had been anticipated and relates more to traffic trends last year than to any specific weakening in the US market.
  • China’s domestic traffic grew 15% in March compared to the year-ago period. This was the strongest pace in five months and is being supported by growth in the services sector.
The Bottom line      
"The strong first quarter provides healthy momentum heading into the peak travel period in the Northern Hemisphere. Benign economic conditions are supporting—and being supported by—good demand for air travel. It’s a mutually-beneficial effect that smart governments recognize and encourage, by embracing affordable, quality aviation infrastructure and reasonable commercial regulation. But we need to deliver that message every day. The setback to modernizing air traffic management in the US, and a proposal to stop construction of the new airport in Mexico, are reminders of that fact," said de Juniac.     
View full March passenger traffic analysis
     
Notes for Editors:
  • IATA (International Air Transport Association) represents some 280 airlines comprising 83% of global air traffic.
  • You can follow us at http://twitter.com/iata2press for news specially catered for the media.
  • All figures are provisional and represent total reporting at time of publication plus estimates for missing data. Historic figures may be revised.
  • Domestic RPKs accounted for about 36% of the total market. It is most important for North American airlines as it is about 66% of their operations. In Latin America, domestic travel accounts for 46% of operations, primarily owing to the large Brazilian market. For Asia-Pacific carriers, the large markets in India, China and Japan mean that domestic travel accounts for 45% of the region’s operations. It is less important for Europe and most of Africa where domestic travel represents just 11% and 14% of operations, respectively. And it is negligible for Middle Eastern carriers for whom domestic travel represents just 4% of operations.
  • Explanation of measurement terms:
    • RPK: Revenue Passenger Kilometers measures actual passenger traffic
    • ASK: Available Seat Kilometers measures available passenger capacity
    • PLF: Passenger Load Factor is % of ASKs used.
  • IATA statistics cover international and domestic scheduled air traffic for IATA member and non-member airlines.
  • Total passenger traffic market shares by region of carriers in terms of RPK are: Asia-Pacific 33.7%, Europe 26.5%, North America 23.0%, Middle East 9.5%, Latin America 5.2%, and Africa 2.2%.   



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BREAKING NEWS

European Commission - PRESS RELEASES - Press release - Protocol on Ireland and Northern Ireland

http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-18-6423_en.htm European Commission - Fact Sheet Protocol on Ireland and Northern Irel...